习惯形成对我国城镇居民消费结构的影响研究被引量：16

Study on the Influence of Habit Formation on the Consumption Structure of Urban Residents in China

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摘要居民消费的结构失衡严重制约了消费对我国经济发展的基础性作用。习惯形成特征被认为是影响我国居民消费的重要因素之一。其对居民消费结构有什么作用?基于马斯洛需求层次理论界定消费结构,将习惯形成嵌入LA/AIDS模型,采用我国29个省市城镇1992 2012年消费和价格结构数据,运用省际面板三阶段最小二乘法(3SLS)的系统估计发现,我国城镇居民消费存在显著的习惯形成特征,消费行为较谨慎,抑制了生存型消费占比下降、发展型和享受型消费占比上升的演变趋势,阻碍了居民消费结构的优化升级。为优化居民消费结构,应构建弱化习惯形成特征影响的长效机制,通过扩大收入、健全保障、稳定预期等弱化居民的消费习惯强度。 In the new normal economy,it is particularly important to enhance the basic role of resident consumption in economic growth to promote high-quality economic development,but its structural imbalance seriously restricts the expansion of resident consumption in China.In order to explore the reasons and optimization measures,this paper aims to study the influence of habit formation on consumption structure of urban residents.Based on Maslow’s hierarchy of demand theory,we define the resident consumption structure and embed habit formation theory into LA/AIDS model.Using consumption and price structure data of urban residents from 29 provinces of China from 1992 to 2012,and through the system estimation of provincial panel data by the ThreeStage Least Squares(3SLS),it is found that there are significant habit formation characteristics in urban resident consumption in Chin.Their behavior is more cautious,which restrains the declining of survival consumption proportion and the rise of developmental and enjoyable consumption proportion,hinders the optimization and upgrading of residents’ consumption structure.Therefore,in order to optimize the structure of resident consumption and weaken the formation effect of resident consumption habits,it is very important to build a long-term mechanism by expanding residents’ income,reducing uncertainty and improving consumption environment.

作者陈浩宋明月 Chen Hao;Song Mingyue(School of Economics,Shandong University,Jinan 250100,P.R.China;School of Economics,Shandong Normal University,Jinan 250014,P.R.China)

机构地区山东大学经济学院

出处《山东大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》 CSSCI 北大核心 2019年第1期25-33,共9页 Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基金国家社会科学基金重大项目"供给侧结构性改革异质性消费者行为与经济增长内生动力研究"(17ZDA038)

关键词习惯形成消费结构马斯洛需求层次理论 LA/AIDS模型 Habit formation Consumption structure Maslow's Hierarchy of Needs Theory LA/ AIDS model

分类号 F126.1 [经济管理—世界经济]

作者简介陈浩,山东大学经济学院博士研究生(济南250100;Chenhao_jn@163.com);宋明月,山东师范大学经济学院讲师(济南250014;moon_song@163.com)。