技术进步对中国碳排放的影响——基于向量误差修正模型的实证研究被引量：66

The Effect of Technological Change on China's Carbon Dioxide Emission:An Empirical Analysis Based on the Vector Error Correction Model

在线阅读下载PDF

导出

摘要技术进步对碳排放的影响受到了越来越多的关注,本文利用1978-2008年的数据,采用DEA-Malmquist指数法测算了中国全要素生产率,并以其作为技术进步的指标,运用向量误差修正模型检验了技术进步和中国碳排放的关系。结果表明,技术进步与碳排放之间存在长期均衡关系,长期内技术进步可以减少碳排放,而短期内技术进步对碳排放没有明显作用。 The effect of technological change on carbon dioxide emission has received more and more attention. Based on the data from 1978 to 2008, this paper examines the relationship between technological change and China＇s carbon diox- ide, using the DEA - Malmquist index method to estimate China＇s TFP, which is taken as the indicators of technological change. The results implies that there exists long term equilibrium relationship between technological change and carbon dioxide emission, in the long run, the technological change can reduce carbon dioxide emission, but in the short run, it has no evident effect on carbon dioxide emission.

作者李凯杰曲如晓

机构地区北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院

出处《中国软科学》 CSSCI 北大核心 2012年第6期51-58,共8页 China Soft Science

关键词碳排放技术进步向量误差修正模型 carbon dioxide emission technological change Vector Error Correction model

分类号 F062.2 [经济管理—政治经济学]

作者简介李凯杰（1987-），男，河南许昌人，北京师范大学经济与工商管理学院博士研究生，研究方向：气候变化与贸易问题研究。

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献24

1林伯强,蒋竺均.中国二氧化碳的环境库兹涅茨曲线预测及影响因素分析[J].管理世界,2009,25(4):27-36. 被引量：846
2王淑新,何元庆,王学定.中国低碳经济演进分析:基于能源强度的视角[J].中国软科学,2010(9):25-32. 被引量：27
3Nordhaus W D. Economic Growth and Climate: The Case of Carbo Dioxide [ J]. American Economic Review, 1977, (67) :341 -346.
4Nordhaus W D. Optimal Greenhouse- Gas Reduction and Tax Policy in the DICE model[ J]. American Economic Re- view, 1993 ,(83) :313 -317.
5Grubb M, Chapuis T, Ha- Duong M. The Economics of Changing Course: Implications of Adaptability and Inertia for Op- timal Climate Policy[J]. Energy Policy, 1995,(23) : 417 -431.
6Newell R G, Jaffe A B, Stavins R N. The Induced Inno- vation Hypothesis and Energy - Saving Technological Change [J] . Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1999, (114) : 941 - 975.
7Goulder L H, Schneider S H. Induced Technological Change and the Attractiveness of CO2 Emissions Abatement[ J ]. Resource and Energy Economics, 1999, (21) :211 - 253.
8Nordhaus W D. Modeling Induced Innovation in Climate Change Policy[J]. in Grubler, A. ; N. Nakicenovic, and Nor- dhaus, W.D. eds., Technological Change and the Environ- ment: Resources for the Future Press, Washington, DC. 2002.
9Buonanno P, Carraro C, Galeotti M. Endogenous InducedTechnical Change and the Costs of Kyoto [ J ]. Resource and Energy Economics, 2003, ( 25 ) : 11 - 34.
10Popp D. ENTICE: Endogenous Technological Change in the DICE Model of Global Warming [ J ]. Journal of Environ- mental Economics and Management, 2004, (48) :742 -768.