摘要
                
                    控制人口数量一直是我国现行人口政策的关键内容。随着人口出生率下降和新生人口减少,我国普通高等教育学龄人口不断减少,而普通高校自1999年以来持续实行扩招政策,按此趋势,10余年后,普通高校的计划招生数可能会超过报考人数,出现录取率达"百分百"的现象,导致普通高校面临严峻的生源危机和生存危机。为保障普通高等教育的可持续发展,需要前瞻性、系统性地做好相应规划和制度建设,尽快实行十二年制义务教育制度,推进普通高校招生体制改革,创建具有中国特色的世界一流大学,深化普通高等教育宏观管理体制改革,并切实加快普通高校内部管理体制改革。
                
                Controlling population growth is always the key content of the present population policy in China. As the birth rate and the newborn population are declining, the school- age population of regular higher education is also dropping. On the other hand, the regular institutions of higher education have been implementing the enrollment expansion policy since 1999. According to these tendencies, the number of program enrollments will go be- yond that of registering for the examination in more than ten years. Thus the enrollment rate will reach one hundred percent. What is worse, the regular institutions will be faced with formidable crises of enrollment and existence. To guarantee the sustainable development of regular higher education, we ought to work out the plans and systems systemically and pro- spectively as follows: putting into effect the system of twelve-year compulsory education as quickly as possible; carrying forward the system reform of the enrollment; constructing world-class colleges and universities with Chinese characteristics; deepening the macro-management system reform of regular higher education; speeding up the internal-management reform of regular institutions and so forth.
    
    
    
    
                出处
                
                    《高等教育研究》
                        
                                CSSCI
                                北大核心
                        
                    
                        2010年第3期12-19,63,共9页
                    
                
                    Journal of Higher Education
     
    
                关键词
                    人口政策
                    出生率
                    普通高等教育
                    生源
                
                        population policy
                         birth rate
                         regular higher education
                         enrollment
                
     
    
    
                作者简介
陈伟(1977-),男,安徽霍邱人,北京大学政府管理学院博士研究生,从事公共管理和公共经济研究;
顾听(1963-),男,北京人,北京大学政府管理学院教授,博士生导师,从事社会政策研究。