从系统动力学的视角看风险的本质与分类被引量：10

Essence and classification of risk in view of systematic dynamics

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摘要从系统动力学的视角论述了风险的系统动力学特征,并在分析风险分类重要性的基础上,提出从风险的系统动力学特征出发,以风险因素作为风险分类依据的分类的构想,该风险分类体系有利于加强风险基础数据库建设,提高风险分析和管理水平。 Systematic dynamics character/sties of the risk was discussed in view of systematic dynamics theory. Based on analysis of importance of risk classification, the idea that take the risk factors as a basis of risk classification was presented. The risk classification system mentioned is beneficial to construction of fundamental risk database and improvement of risk analysis and management level.

作者胡爱军李宁李春华黄树青

机构地区北京师范大学环境演变与自然灾害教育部重点实验室地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室(北京师范大学)

出处《自然灾害学报》 CSCD 北大核心 2008年第1期39-43,共5页 Journal of Natural Disasters

基金国家自然科学基金项目(40771008) 国家科技攻关支撑项目(2006BAD20B01)

关键词风险风险分类系统动力学 risk risk classification system dynamics

分类号 X4 [环境科学与工程—灾害防治]

作者简介胡爱军（1978-），男，博士研究生，主要从事自然灾害风险研究．通讯作者：李宁，女，教授．E-mail：ningli@ires．cn

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