摘要
为应对边境安全中的涉外性、全球性和内源性风险,提升边境安全风险感知能力,推动风险监测预警和态势塑造,构建数智赋能边境安全风险态势感知与塑造的理论模型。在深入边境地区调研和研读文献基础上,通过质性编码梳理边境安全的主要风险、明确感知重点、分析感知困境;以态势感知理论和意义构建理论为指导,以数智赋能为方法论支持,提出数智赋能态势感知的概念模型,探讨边境安全风险态势感知与塑造的运行逻辑,抽象出具有普适性的关键环节,构建相应的理论模型并解析其内涵。该理论模型能够集成边境安全风险态势汇聚、态势察觉、态势理解、态势预测及态势塑造于一体,可为边境安全风险监测预警、超前响应提供理论与工具支持,为推进边境治理体系和治理能力现代化贡献智慧。
In order to cope with the external,global and non-traditional risks in border security,improve the border security risk perception ability,promote risk monitoring and early warning and situation shaping,and build a theoretical model of border security risk awareness and situation shaping empowered by digital intelligence.On the basis of in-depth investigation and literature study in border areas,the main risks of border security,clear percep⁃tion priorities and analysis of perception dilemmas are obtained through qualitative coding.Guided by the situational awareness theory and meaning construction theory,and supported by the methodology of numerical intelligence empowerment,this paper proposes a conceptual model of situational awareness based on numerical intelligence empowerment,discusses the operational logic of situational awareness and modeling of border security risk,abstracts the key links with universal applicability,constructs the corresponding theoretical model and analyzes its connotation.The theoretical model proposed in this study can integrate border security risk situation aggregation,situation detection,situation understanding,situation prediction and situation shaping,which can provide theoretical and tool support for border security risk monitoring,early warning and advance response,and contribute wisdom to promoting the modernization of border governance system and governance capacity.
作者
吕东润
屈健
连芷萱
LYU Dongrun;QU Jian;LIAN Zhixuan(China People’s Police University,Langfang,Hebei Province 065000,China;Hangzhou International Innovation Institute,Beihang University,Hangzhou,Zhejiang Province 311115,China)
出处
《中国人民警察大学学报》
2025年第7期30-42,共13页
Journal of China People's Police University
基金
国家社会科学基金项目“我国陆地边境安全风险的情报感知响应机制研究”(22BTQ103)。
关键词
边境安全
态势感知
风险
数智赋能
border security
situational awareness
risk
numerical intelligence empowerment
作者简介
吕东润(2000-),男,山东潍坊人,在读硕士研究生;屈健(1977-),女,河北廊坊人,教授,硕士研究生导师;连芷萱(1994-),女,河北张家口人,助理研究员。
