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人口老龄化背景下劳动力成本与全要素生产率:基于企业所有制类型的视角 被引量:7

A Study of Labor Cost and Total Factor Productivity against the Background of Population Aging:Based on the Perspective of Enterprise Ownership Type
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摘要 推动经济增长方式由要素驱动型转换为全要素生产率(TFP)驱动型,是应对人口结构转型和劳动力成本上升的重要路径。研究发现,劳动力成本上升促进企业TFP的提升,且对不同所有制类型企业的促进作用存在非平衡性。劳动力成本上升对国有企业、民营企业和外资企业TFP的促进强度依次递减,递减程度随企业要素密集度的提升而提高,随所处地区市场化水平的提高而降低;劳动力成本上升削弱民营企业和外资企业TFP竞争优势,造成民营企业和外资企业产出、就业份额下降。推动市场化改革,优化各类企业主体的营商环境,有助于减少劳动力成本上升的冲击,为TFP提升和经济可持续增长释放内生动力。 With the aggravation of aging,labor cost in China shows an increasing trend.It is the way to cope with the rising cost by promoting the growth of total factor productivity(TFP).Currently,the studies on rising labor cost and TFP focus on qualitative analysis and impact mechanism but seldom involve heterogeneity.However,the heterogeneity of enterprises in financing and other aspects may make it difficult for some enterprises to cope with the impact of rising labor cost,which not only restricts the role of market competition mechanism but also is not conducive to the long-term healthy development of economy in China.Based on this,this paper studies the difference influence of rising labor cost on TFP of different ownership enterprises from the perspective of heterogeneous ownership types and the economic consequences produced by the difference influence.The main contents are as follows:(1)The differences in financing ability and policy burden between state-owned enterprises and private enterprises are analyzed theoretically.On the one hand,private enterprises rely more on labor input,and rising labor cost has resulted in a substantial increase in the burden on private enterprises;on the other hand,state-owned enterprises also bear policy burdens such as“stabilizing employment”,and their negative effects on TFP of state-owned enterprises may be further amplified due to rising labor cost.According to this hypothesis,rising labor cost has a more positive effect on TFP of state-owned enterprises(private enterprises).(2)The differences in investment motivation between domestic and foreign-funded enterprises are analyzed theoretically.On the one hand,the technical efficiency level of foreign-funded enterprises is higher,and it is more difficult to improve TFP marginal;on the other hand,it is easier for foreign-funded enterprises to transfer production capacity to countries with lower costs,instead of responding by improving efficiency.Based on this,this paper puts forward a hypothesis that rising labor cost has a more positive effect on TFP of domestic-funded enterprises.(3)Empirical tests are carried out for theoretical analysis.Based on FE model,TFP measured by ACF method is used for regression analysis,and robustness test is carried out by changing regression dependent variables and using GMM regression method.The empirical results are consistent with theoretical hypothesis.The following conclusions are obtained:First of all,rising labor cost significantly promotes the TFP of enterprises,and the impact on TFP of enterprises with different ownership types is unbalanced.Secondly,compared with private and foreign-funded enterprises,rising labor cost has a more positive effect on TFP in state-owned enterprises.In capital-intensive industries and areas with low degree of marketization,this unbalanced effect is further expanded.Thirdly,rising labor cost weakens the TFP competitive advantage of private and foreign-funded enterprises,which results in the decline of the market share of private enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises.Therefore,it is helpful to promote the TFP of private and foreign-funded enterprises and maintain the stability of their market share by improving the degree of regional marketization.Innovations:First of all,the theoretical framework of rising labor cost and TFP changes of enterprises is constructed from the perspective of ownership heterogeneity,and the heterogeneous influence mechanism of rising labor cost on state-owned enterprises and private enterprises,domestic-funded enterprises and foreign-funded enterprises is put forward to expand and supplement the existing literature.Secondly,by constructing a grouping regression model and other ways to carry out empirical tests,this paper clarifies the heterogeneous influence of rising labor cost on enterprises with different ownership systems and the economic consequences of this heterogeneous influence,which provides theoretical reference for comprehensively grasping the changing characteristics of total factor productivity of enterprises with different ownership systems during the period of population transition.
作者 薛天航 肖文 唐楠 Xue Tianhang;Xiao Wen;Tang Nan(Research Center for Regional Coordinated Development,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;School of Economics,Zhejiang University,Hangzhou 310058,China;School of Finance,Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,Shanghai 200433,China)
出处 《浙江大学学报(人文社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2023年第6期71-84,共14页 Journal of Zhejiang University:Humanities and Social Sciences
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(22CJY039)。
关键词 人口老龄化 劳动力成本 全要素生产率 企业所有制类型 population aging labor cost total factor productivity enterprise ownership type
作者简介 薛天航(https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4164-7068),男,浙江大学区域协调发展研究中心助理研究员,复旦大学博士后研究人员,主要从事劳动经济、技术经济等研究;通信作者:肖文(https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9063-8459),女,浙江大学经济学院教授,浙大宁波理工学院商学院启新特聘教授,博士生导师,主要从事国际经济等研究;唐楠(https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3385-0514),男,上海财经大学金融学院博士研究生,主要从事公司金融等研究。
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