摘要
该研究在构建旅游经济和空气质量综合评价指标体系的基础上,利用熵值赋权法和耦合协调度模型来分析云南省16个州市2014—2020年旅游经济系统和空气质量系统的耦合协调关系及时空演化过程。研究发现:①研究期内16个州市的旅游经济发展整体呈现增长趋势,但各州市的旅游经济发展指数差异较大,呈现“两极分化”的发展格局;空气质量发展指数随时间变化的波动性很强、呈无序状态。②研究前期和中期,除了昆明、丽江、大理的旅游经济发展指数始终高于空气质量指数,其余13个州市空气质量指数均优于旅游经济发展指数,属于旅游经济发展滞后型城市。③从耦合协调等级来看,云南省旅游经济与空气质量耦合协调等级得到提高,总体趋势呈现由滇西北地区向滇中、滇西和滇西南地区递减的格局。其中,耦合协调等级比较好的州主要集中在滇西北地区,且耦合协调等级远高于滇东北、滇东南地区。④从空间自相关来看,云南省旅游经济与空气质量耦合协调发展水平整体上表现出全局空间负相关,且空间分布呈随机态势,尚未形成地理上的空间集聚效应。研究期内16个州市旅游经济与空气质量耦合协调度协同增长的有3个,负向增长的有13个,说明16个州市的内部空间结构呈现竞争强于协作的态势,区域空间整合性较弱。⑤对旅游经济和空气质量两大系统耦合协调发展影响较显著的因素依次是:机动车数量、城镇居民可支配收入、农村居民可支配收入和人均GDP。通过对云南省旅游经济与空气质量两者的耦合协调关系研究,拟为云南省旅游经济系统和空气质量系统健康、可持续、高耦合水平发展提供相应参考。
Using the entropy weighting method to calculate the objective weight of each index as well as the coupling coordination model and the spatial autocorrelation model,this study constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for tourism economy and air quality to analyze the coupling and coordination relationship between the tourism economic system and the air quality system of 16 prefecture-level cities and prefectures in Yunnan Province from 2014 to 2020 and its spatio-temporal evolution process.The research found that:①The development of the tourism economy in the 16 prefectures and cities showed an overall growth trend during the study period,but the tourism economic development index of each city or prefecture was quite different,presenting a polarized development pattern.The air quality development index changed over time,and its volatility was very strong and disorderly.②In the early and middle periods of the study,except for Kunming,Lijiang,and Dali,where the tourism economic development index was always higher than the air quality index,the air quality index of the other 13 cities or prefectures was higher than the tourism economic development index,and they belonged to the lagging tourism economic development cities.③From the perspective of coupling coordination level,the coupling coordination level of the tourism economy and air quality in Yunnan Province had improved,and the overall trend showed a pattern of decreasing from northwestern Yunnan to its central,western,and southwestern regions.Among them,the prefectures with relatively sound coupling coordination levels were mainly concentrated in northwestern Yunnan,and their coupling coordination levels were much higher than those in northeastern and southeastern Yunnan.④From the perspective of spatial autocorrelation,the coordinated development level of the tourism economy and air quality in Yunnan Province showed a global negative spatial correlation as a whole,the spatial distribution was random,and no geographical spatial agglomeration effect was formed.Among the 16 cities and prefectures,there were 3 cities with synergistic growth in the coupling coordination of tourism economy and air quality and 13 cities with negative growth in the study period,indicating that the internal spatial structure of the 16 cities and prefectures showed a trend of stronger competition than cooperation,and regional spatial integration was weak.⑤The factors that had a significant impact on the coupling coordination of the tourism economy and air quality were:the number of motor vehicles,the disposable income of urban residents,the disposable income of rural residents,and per capita GDP.By studying the coupling coordination between the tourism economy and air quality in Yunnan Province,this study is intended to provide corresponding references for the healthy,sustainable,and high-coupling development of the tourism economy system and air quality system in Yunnan Province.
作者
赵书虹
孔营营
ZHAO Shuhong;KONG Yingying(School of Business Administration and Tourism Management,Yunnan University,Kunming Yunnan 650000,China)
出处
《中国人口·资源与环境》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第8期146-156,共11页
China Population,Resources and Environment
基金
云南省教育厅科学研究基金项目“旅游经济与空气质量耦合协调度研究:以云南省地州市为例”(批准号:2022Y144)
云南大学研究生科研创新基金项目资助(批准号:KC-22221345)
国家社会科学基金项目“少数民族地区乡村旅游发展的妇女生计资本效应及增进路径研究”(批准号:20BJY208)
云南大学青年英才培育计划资助本论文研究。
关键词
旅游经济
空气质量
耦合协调
时空演化
tourism economy
air quality
coupling coordination
spatio‑temporal evolution
作者简介
赵书虹,博士,教授,博导,主要研究方向为旅游目的地管理。E-mail:396342605@qq.com;通信作者:孔营营,硕士生,主要研究方向为旅游经济发展。E-mail:1621440395@qq.com。
