摘要
随着全球地缘政治博弈重心向亚太地区转移,中国周边及“一带一路”沿线地区将是地缘破碎带的多发区域,面临巨大的地缘风险。论文通过追溯地缘破碎带概念的起源,梳理地缘破碎带的相关研究进展,提出未来中国地缘破碎带的研究方向。20世纪初,地缘破碎带的概念被学者从地质学引入地缘政治研究领域,用以分析和解释地理环境对冲突的影响;地缘破碎带的研究主要集中在阐释其基本特征,分析地缘破碎带的分布与演化,探索地缘破碎带的整合路径等内容,研究方法多以定性分析和描述为主,研究成果多集中在全球地缘政治格局的剧变时期和欧亚大陆的边缘地带。未来中国地缘破碎带研究需要重点关注:(1)以构建地缘破碎带理论分析框架为基础,结合地理大数据等分析方法,加强地缘破碎带的可视化、量化和模拟研究;(2)加强中国周边及“一带一路”沿线地区地缘破碎带的演变过程及驱动机制研究,识别和评估地缘破碎带面临的地缘风险;(3)结合人类命运共同体理念,积极探索地缘破碎带的整合路径。
As the world’s geopolitical game center of gravity shifts to the Asia-Pacific region, China’s periphery and the areas along the Belt and Road will be the areas where shatter belts are most likely to occur, facing huge geopolitical risks. In this article, we traced the origin of the concept of shatter belt, reviewed the relevant research progress of shatter belt, and proposed the future research direction of shatter belt in China. "Shatter belt" was introduced from geology to geopolitical research in the early 20th century and was mainly used to analyze and explain the influence of geographic configurations on conflicts. Research on shatter belt mainly focused on the interpretation of its basic characteristics, analysis of the distribution and evolution of shatter belts,and exploration of the integration paths of shatter belts. The research methods were mostly qualitative analysis and description. The research of shatter belt was mainly concentrated on periods of dramatic changes in the global geopolitical situation and the Eurasian rimland. Future directions of shatter belt research in China should include: 1) constructing a theoretical analysis framework of shatter belt, and strengthening the visualization,quantification, and simulation of shatter belt by combining big data and other analytical methods;2)strengthening the examination of the evolution processes and driving mechanisms of shatter belts in China’s peripheral regions and along the Belt and Road, and identifying and assessing the geopolitical risks in shatter belts;and 3) exploring the ways to integrate shatter belts by combining the thought of a community with shared future for mankind.
作者
吴仕海
阎建忠
WU Shihai;YAN Jianzhong(College of Resources and Environment,Southwest University,Chongqing 400716,China)
出处
《地理科学进展》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2022年第6期1109-1122,共14页
Progress in Geography
基金
第二次青藏高原综合科学考察研究项目(2019QZKK0603)
中国科学院战略性先导科技专项(XDA20040201)
国家自然科学基金项目(42171098)。
关键词
地缘破碎带
地理环境
地缘风险
shatter belt
geographic configuration
geopolitical risk
作者简介
第一作者:吴仕海(1987-),男,云南曲靖人,博士生,研究方向为土地利用与生态过程以及全球变化与区域响应。E-mail:wshai2010@126.com;通信作者:阎建忠(1972-),男,重庆忠县人,研究员,博导,研究方向为土地利用/覆被变化以及全球变化与区域响应。E-mail:yanjzswu@126.com。
