摘要
文章基于数字经济的关键特征,系统归纳了数字化冲击影响旅游经济增长的效应——生产率效应和结构效应,然后利用省级层面数字经济综合指标与旅游分行业数据相匹配,通过固定效应非线性模型、调节效应模型进行实证检验。研究发现,数字经济与旅游经济增长之间呈现倒“U”型关系,各省份数字经济发展对旅游经济增长具有正向促进作用,超过一定阈值后,这种正向影响转为负向影响。进一步研究还发现,相较于入境旅游,数字经济发展与国内旅游经济增长的倒“U”型关系更为明显。异质性分析显示,不同于东北、中部地区,倒“U”型关系仅出现在东、西部地区。机制分析表明,数字经济主要通过旅游产业效率、旅游产业结构的正向调节机制对旅游经济增长产生倒“U”型影响。
Based on the key characteristics of the digital economy,this paper firstly systematically summarizes the effects of digital shock on tourism economy growth:production efficiency effect and structure effect.Then it makes an empirical analysis through a combination of fixed effect nonlinear estimation and moderating effect model by matching the comprehensive indicators of digitalization at the provincial level and the tourism industry data.The results show that there is a reverse-U-shaped relationship between digital economy and tourism economic growth.With the expansion of digital economy in each province,digital economy has a positive effect on tourism economic growth,and when it exceeds a certain threshold,the effect becomes negative.And the reverse-U-shaped relationship is more obvious in domestic tourism than in inbound tourism.The analysis of heterogeneity shows that the effect is more in the eastern and western regions than in the northeast and central regions.A further test finds that the reverse-U-shaped relationship on the tourism economic growth is mainly due to tourismindustry efficiency effect and tourism industry structure effect.
作者
冀雁龙
李金叶
JI Yan-long;LI Jin-ye(School of Economics and Management,Xinjiang University,Urumqi Xinjiang 830046,China;School of Yungangology,Shanxi Datong University,Datong Shanxi 037009,China)
出处
《技术经济与管理研究》
北大核心
2022年第6期13-18,共6页
Journal of Technical Economics & Management
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(71964032)
新疆维吾尔自治区社会科学项目(19BJL028)。
关键词
数字经济发展
旅游经济增长
旅游产业效率
旅游产业结构
Digital economy development
Tourism economic growth
Tourism industry efficiency
Tourism industry structure
作者简介
冀雁龙,新疆大学经济与管理学院博士研究生,山西大同大学云冈学学院,研究方向:旅游经济学;李金叶,新疆大学经济与管理学院教授,博士生导师,研究方向:区域经济学。
