摘要
积极响应全球气候变化和坚决贯彻党中央提出的碳达峰、碳中和(简称"双碳")目标是中国旅游业高质量发展的重要使命。本文在评估1990—2020年中国旅游业碳排放状况基础上,预测2021—2060年中国旅游业碳排放,分析中国旅游业实现"双碳"目标的主要挑战、任务与实现路径。研究结果表明:(1)中国旅游业碳排放可分为4个阶段;碳排放结构特征显著,旅游交通及休闲度假是碳排放主体;旅游消费需求增长趋势下唯有以低碳情景推进,方能在2030—2035年间实现旅游业碳达峰,为实现碳中和目标减缓阻力。(2)中国旅游业实现"双碳"目标面临旅游碳排增速快、全球气候变化威胁、碳排放边界模糊、品质化旅游需求旺盛、减碳技术不足5大挑战;必须从宏观-产业、中观-目的地与企业、微观-游客3个维度确定实现"双碳"目标的主要任务;坚守统筹协调、因地制宜、尊重规律、推广科技、差异化实现5大发展原则。(3)高质量发展下中国旅游业"双碳"目标的实现路径应从供给侧、消费端、政策支撑3方面突破,在供给侧加快能源结构调整、加大减碳技术投入、增强碳汇能力,在消费端促进旅游消费主体、消费场所、服务组织的减碳全面响应,在政策支撑加快完善低碳政策、鼓励低碳政策创新。本文立足中国旅游业实现"双碳"目标的研究前沿,初步建立了旅游"双碳"理论,丰富了低碳旅游理论,可为高质量发展下中国旅游业"双碳"目标实现提供决策参考。
Actively responding to global climate change and resolutely implementing the"dualcarbon"goal proposed by the CPC Central Committee are important missions for the highquality development of China’s tourism industry.Based on the carbon emission evaluation of China’s tourism industry from 1990 to 2020,this paper forecasts future carbon emission from2021 to 2060,and subsequently analyzes the major challenges,tasks,and approach.The results show that:(1)China’s tourism carbon emission history can be divided into four stages.The carbon emission structure shows prominent features,with tourism transportation and leisure vacation as the main body.Only with the promotion of low-carbon emission can we achieve the carbon peaking target of tourism industry in 2030-2035 during the post epidemic era and reduce the resistance to carbon neutrality.(2)China’s tourism industry faces 5 major challenges in achieving the"dual-carbon"goal,including rapid growth of tourism carbon emissions,threats from global climate changes,fuzzy carbon emission boundaries,strong demand for quality tourism,and insufficient carbon reduction technologies.Therefore,it is necessary to establish the major tasks from 3 dimensions:macro-industry,meso-destination and enterprise,and micro-tourists,as well as adhere to the 5 development principles,including overall coordination,adapting measures to local conditions,respecting laws,promoting science and technology,and differentiation.(3)The approach to China’s tourism"dual-carbon"goal in the context of high-quality development should incorporate three aspects:supply side,consumption side,and policy support.On the supply side,it is critical to accelerate the adjustment of energy structure,increase the investment in carbon reduction technology,and enhance carbon sink capacity.On the supply side,it is critical to promote the carbon reduction of tourism consumption subjects,consumption sites,and service organizations.On the policy support,it is critical to accelerate the improvement and innovation of low-carbon policies.Based on the research frontier of achieving the"dual-carbon"goal of China’s tourism industry,this paper preliminarily establishes the theory of tourism"dual-carbon"and enriches the theory of low-carbon tourism,which will provide decision-making insights for achieving the"dualcarbon"goal of China’s tourism industry in the context of high-quality development.
作者
唐承财
查建平
章杰宽
陶玉国
王立国
王露
韩莹
TANG Chengcai;ZHA Jianping;ZHANG Jiekuan;TAO Yuguo;WANG Liguo;WANG Lu;HAN Ying(School of Tourism Sciences,Beijing International Studies University,Beijing 100024,China;School of Tourism,Sichuan University,Chengdu 610065,China;ASEAN Tourism Research Base,Guilin Tourism University,Guilin 541000,China;School of History Culture&Tourism,Jiangsu Normal University,Xuzhou 221116,China;College of Land Resources and Environment,Jiangxi Agricultural University,Nanchang 330045,China)
出处
《中国生态旅游》
2021年第4期471-497,共27页
Journal of Chinese Ecotourism
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(42071199,41571131)
教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(18YJA630102,21YJAZH085)
国家社会科学基金艺术学重大项目(20ZD02)
关键词
旅游业
碳排放预测
碳达峰
碳中和
低碳发展
绿色发展
高质量发展
生态文明
tourism
carbon emission forecast
carbon peaking
carbon neutrality
low-carbon development
green development
high-quality development
ecological civilization
作者简介
第一作者:唐承财(1982-),男,博士(后),教授,硕士生导师,主要从事生态旅游、低碳旅游、乡村旅游等相关研究。E-mail:tcc5808@163.com;通讯作者:查建平(1986-),男,博士(后),教授,主要从事生态旅游,旅游经济、文旅大数据等相关研究。E-mail:jianping_zha@hotmail.com。
