摘要
数字经济极有潜质成为旅游经济增长的新动能.选取2011—2019年我国30个省区的面板数据,在对数字经济与旅游经济发展水平测度的基础上,分析了二者的动态演进规律,并借助基准回归模型和空间杜宾模型探究了数字经济发展对旅游经济的影响及空间溢出效应.结论如下:(1)各省份数字经济与旅游经济发展水平存在较大差距,但总体均呈现稳步提升态势;区域异质性上,数字经济水平由“中部塌陷”逐渐过渡至“由东至西”逐级递减的空间格局,而旅游经济则由“东—中—西”逐级递减过渡至“中部塌陷”的区域特征.(2)数字经济能显著赋能旅游经济增长.考虑控制变量后,数字经济发展水平每提升1%,它能有效推动旅游经济增长0.6703%,且该结论在稳健性检验后仍成立.(3)在空间视角下,数字经济发展对邻近省份具有显著的正向溢出效应;但从不同区域来看,仅东部和中部地区的数字经济能释放出显著的正向影响和空间溢出效应,西部地区不显著.
Digital economy has great potential to become a new driving force for tourism economic growth.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces and regions in China from 2011 to 2019 and the measurement of the development level of digital economy and tourism economy,this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution of the two,and explores the impact of digital economy development on tourism economy and spatial spillover effect with the help of benchmark regression model and spatial Dubin model.The conclusions are as follows:(1)There is a big gap between the development level of digital economy and tourism economy in each province,but the overall situation is steadily improving;In terms of regional heterogeneity,the level of digital economy gradually transited from the"central collapse"to the spatial pattern of gradual decline"from east to west",while the tourism economy gradually transited from the regional characteristics of"east-middle-west gradual decline"to"central collapse".(2)Digital economy can significantly enhance tourism economic growth.After considering the control variables,every 1%increase in the development level of digital economy can effectively elevate the growth of tourism economy by 0.6703%,and this conclusion remains valid after the robustness test.(3)From the perspective of space,the development of digital economy has a significantly positive spillover effect on neighboring provinces;However,from the perspective of different regions,only the digital economy in the eastern and central regions can release significant positive effects and spatial spillover effects,while those in the western regions are not significant.
作者
蔡超岳
唐健雄
胡晨璐
史吉志
CAI Chaoyue;TANG Jianxiong;HU Chenlu;SHI Jizhi(College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha,Hunan 410081,China)
出处
《内江师范学院学报》
CAS
2023年第4期83-93,共11页
Journal of Neijiang Normal University
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(21BGL149)
湖南省国内一流培育学科建设项目(地理学-5010002)。
关键词
数字经济
旅游经济
空间自相关
空间溢出效应
digital economy
tourism economy
spatial auto-correlation
spatial spillover effects
作者简介
蔡超岳(1998-),男,河南郑州人,湖南师范大学硕士研究生,研究方向:旅游地理与区域经济;通信作者:唐健雄(1967-),男,湖南长沙人,湖南师范大学教授,博士,研究方向:旅游地理。