摘要
基于粮食主产区河南省1989—2018年的数据,构建VAR模型,使用Granger检验、脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析等方法,对其农业机械化和农业劳动力转移的动态关系进行分析。结果表明:农业机械化和农业劳动力转移存在双向格兰杰因果关系,但双向互馈的影响程度不同,农业机械化水平提升对农业劳动力转移的作用显著高于其逆向作用。研究发现对于加快提高粮区农业机械化水平,助推农业劳动力有序流转,促进现代农业发展有重要的政策涵义。
Based on the data of Henan Province,a major grain-producing region from 1989 to 2018,the VAR model was established to analyze the dynamic relationship between agricultural mechanization and agricultural T in Henan Province by using Granger test,impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis.The results show that there is a two-way Granger causality relationship between agricultural mechanization and agricultural T,but the influence degree of two-way mutual feed is different,and the effect of agricultural mechanization level on agricultural T is significantly higher than its reverse effect.The findings of this study have important policy implications for accelerating the improvement of agricultural mechanization level in grain areas,boosting the orderly transfer of agricultural labor force and promoting the development of modern agriculture.
作者
杨萌萌
Yang Mengmeng(School of Engineering Management and Real Estate,Henan University Of Economics And Law,Zhengzhou,Henan 450000)
出处
《粮食科技与经济》
2021年第3期29-33,共5页
Food Science And Technology And Economy
关键词
农业
机械化
劳动力转移
VAR模型
agricultural
mechanization
transfer of agricultural labor force
the VAR model
作者简介
杨萌萌,女,硕士研究生,研究方向为农村发展。
