农地流转对农村减贫的空间溢出效应与门槛特征——省级层面的实证被引量：14

Spatial Spillover and Threshold Effects of Farmland Transfer in Poverty Reduction:An Empirical Study at the Provincial Level

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摘要研究目的:研究农地流转对农村减贫的影响。研究方法:利用2010—2018年中国30省份的面板数据,构建空间计量模型和门槛模型,分析农地流转对农村减贫的空间溢出效应和门槛特征。研究结果:(1)中国的贫困发生率、耕地流转面积在省域层面均存在显著的正向空间相关性,贫困发生率与耕地流转面积之间存在负向空间相关性;(2)农地流转对农村减贫存在正向的空间溢出效应,其他省份的农地流转会间接促进本省的农村减贫;(3)农地流转促进农村减贫的过程存在门槛特征,在农业生产效率及经济发展水平两个门槛解释变量下,农地流转对农村减贫的促进作用分别呈现出持续上升和先升后降的特征;(4)农地流转对农村减贫的促进作用存在地区差异,在农林牧渔总产值较低的省份中农地流转对农村减贫的作用更强,而在农林牧渔总产值较高的省份该作用则相对较弱。研究结论:要解决好中国的贫困问题应全面统筹,注重农地流转对农村减贫的促进作用,因地制宜推进全国各省农地有序流转,促进农村土地和劳动力的优化配置,实现全面脱贫。 The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of farmland transfer on poverty reduction.The research methods are as follows.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2018,this study focuses on the spatial spillover and threshold effects of farmland transfer on poverty reduction by using spatial econometric model and threshold effect model.The results show that:1)in China,there is a significant positive spatial correlation between poverty incidence and the area of farmland transfer at the provincial level,and there is a negative spatial correlation between the poverty incidence and the area of farmland transfer.2)There is a positive spatial spillover effect of farmland transfer on rural poverty reduction,that is,the transfer of farmland in other provinces can promote poverty reduction in this province.3)There is a threshold effect in the process of farmland transfer to promote rural poverty reduction,that is,under the two different threshold explanatory variables of agricultural production efficiency and economic development level,the promotion effect of farmland transfer on rural poverty reduction presents the characteristics of continuous increase and first rise and then decrease,respectively.4)There are regional differences in the promotion effect of farmland transfer on rural poverty reduction.In conclusion,in order to solve the poverty problem in China,an overall plan should be formulated and the importance to the role of farmland transfer should be underscored in poverty reduction.At the national level,farmland transfer should be strengthened to promote rural poverty reduction.The government should increase farmers’income by strengthening the transfer of farmland.At the provincial level,the regional differences should be fully considered regarding the role of farmland transfer in rural poverty reduction.

作者卢新海王洪政唐一峰张旭鹏 LU Xinhai;WANG Hongzheng;TANG Yifeng;ZHANG Xupeng(College of Public Administration,Huazhong University of Science and Technology,Wuhan 430074,China;College of Public Administration,Central China Normal University,Wuhan 430079,China)

机构地区华中科技大学公共管理学院华中师范大学公共管理学院

出处《中国土地科学》 CSSCI CSCD 北大核心 2021年第6期56-64,共9页 China Land Science

基金华中科技大学自主创新重大交叉项目(2021WKZDJC001) 中国博士后科学基金项目(2020M672365)。

关键词农地流转减贫空间溢出效应门槛特征 farmland transfer poverty reduction spatial spillover effect threshold characteristic

分类号 F301.3 [经济管理—产业经济]

作者简介第一作者:卢新海(1965-),男,湖北洪湖人,博士,教授。主要研究方向为土地利用与粮食安全。E-mail:xinhailu@163.com;通讯作者:王洪政(1994-),男,湖南湘西人,博士研究生。主要研究方向为农村土地利用。E-mail:wanghongzhengla@163.com。