摘要
在转变经济发展方式的大背景下,财政政策对于新兴产业的支持力度逐渐加大。设计并利用动态CGE模型,探讨财政政策支持对能耗、经济及碳排放的影响,研究结果发现:随着新兴产业发展的日渐成熟其对经济总量具有促进作用,对能源消费及碳排放总量具有抑制作用;长期来看,在政府财政政策支持下的新兴产业发展对经济总量的提升作用及对能源消费、碳排放总量的抑制作用不显著。研究表明,在能源结构转变的大环境下,只有新兴产业与传统经济体融合并进才能有效促进经济健康发展。
In the context of changing the mode of economic development,fiscal policy has gradually increased its support for new industries.Based on the design and use of dynamic CGE models to explore the impact of fiscal policy support on energy consumption,economy,and carbon emissions,the results show that:as the development of emerging industries matures,it can promote the economic aggregate and inhibit the total energy consumption and carbon emissions;in the long run,the development of emerging industries supported by the government's fiscal policy will affect the economic aggregate.The promotion effect of energy consumption and the restraint effect on total energy consumption and carbon emissions are not significant.Studies have shown that under the environment of changing energy structure,only the integration of emerging industries and traditional economies can effectively promote the healthy development of the economy.
作者
张磊
ZHANG Lei(Guanghua School of Management,Peking University,Beijing 100871,China)
出处
《哈尔滨工业大学学报（社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第3期152-160,共9页
Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(Social Sciences Edition)
作者简介
张磊(1972-),男,河南郑州人,高级工程师,博士研究生,从事能源经济、经济管理研究。
