摘要
冷战期间,泰国在军人集团主导下先后进行了两次发展模式变革,有力地推动了社会经济跨越式发展。20世纪90年代初,随着城市中产阶级的政治崛起,泰国再次进行发展模式变革,但是,照搬西方的"选举民主体制—全面自由化道路"发展模式未能取得预期成效,反而引发危机。进入21世纪,泰国新资本集团在农民群体支持下推动新一轮发展模式变革,结果在存量改革困境下,引发了严重的政治冲突与社会分裂。2014年,泰国军方再次发动政变,强行接管改革主导权。从目前来看,泰国要构建稳定、有序、可持续的发展模式,必须首先完善协商机制,并在此基础上依托中泰战略合作契机形成兼顾各方利益集团的发展共识。
During the Cold War, Thailand has had undertaken national development model changes for two times under the leadership of the military junta, which has made a strong impetus to the socio-economic of leapfrog development. In the early 1990s, with the political rise of the urban middle class, Thailand undertook another national development model change. However, ＂Electoral Democracy System-Fully Liberalization road＂ development model which mechanically copied the Western, not only failed to reach the desired results, but also lead to a crisis in 1997. In the beginning of 21st century, the neo-capital group promoted a new round of national development model change in support of farmer groups, but has raised serious political conflict and social division in the stock reform dilemma. In 2014, the Thai military staged a coup once again, and forcibly took over the leadership of the reform. From the present situation, in order to build a stable, orderly and sustainable development model, Thailand must improve the consultative mechanisms, and rely on the opportunity of Sino-Thai strategic cooperation to form a development consensus, by taking into account the aspirations of all interest groups.
出处
《东南亚研究》
CSSCI
2015年第5期16-24,34,共10页
Southeast Asian Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目"21世纪‘海上丝绸之路’建设的周边政治环境研究"(14BGJ002)
关键词
泰国
国家发展模式
军事政变
Thailand
National Development Model
Military Coup
作者简介
周方冶，博士，中国社会科学院亚太与全球战略研究院副研究员。
