摘要
当前,我国突发事件急剧增长并在高风险社会图景交织下,呈现出高度复杂性和深度不确定性骤增的态势,这给应急管理特别是应急决策带来了严峻挑战。基于此,试从决策角度进行分析,聚焦应急决策、危机决策和风险决策转化范式整合的分析框架;全面考察我国应急决策脆弱性的表现、特征和深层机理;据此提出优化应急决策模式本身和再造决策"连续统"这一双重路径的治理方略。
At present, China emergencies have got rapid growth and show high complexity and deep uncertainty in the high risk society, which have posed a serious challenge to emergency decision-making. This paper tries to analyse from the perspective of decision-making, focusing on paradigm of integrated analytical framework of emergency decision-making, crisis decision-making and risk decision-making ,and makes comprehensive study of performances, features and underlying mechanism of emergency decision-makings＇ vulnerability. Accordingly it proposes to optimize the models of emergency decision-making and reinvent the continuum of decisions-making.
出处
《电子科技大学学报（社科版）》
2012年第3期25-31,共7页
Journal of University of Electronic Science and Technology of China(Social Sciences Edition)
关键词
应急决策
危机决策
风险决策
不确定性
善治
emergency decision-making
crisis decision-making
risk decision-making
uncertainty
good govemance
作者简介
吴长剑（1979-）男，博士研究生，南京大学政府管理学院行政管理淮阴师范学院教师．
