摘要
在人口普查中,人口死亡容易发生漏报。文章分析了中国人口死亡漏报的社会原因,利用两次普查的人口数据证明了人口死亡漏报确实存在。为了估计出实际的人口死亡水平,对两次普查的人口数据质量进行了推敲,根据登记的人口和死亡率数据的不同情况,提出了相应的修正方法。研究结果表明,20世纪90年代男性的预期寿命为67.97岁,女性的预期寿命为71.34岁,均比人口普查登记资料算出的结果小1.5岁左右。
The death of population is often underreported in census. This paper analyses social determinants of death underreporting in China, and proves the existence of death underreporting by analyzing two census data. It also examines the quality of census data, and suggests a correction method according to registration population and mortality, which is important for estimating the factual mortality. The study shows that life expectancy is 67. 97 for male and 71. 34 for female in 1990s, 1.5 years less than reported by census data.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第3期11-20,共10页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
