摘要
近年来,我国中西部地区劳动力不断回流、承接产业不断增加,促进了中西部地区城镇化水平的加速发展。文章通过构建空间均衡模型,使用2011-2016年中西部地区18个省份(直辖市、自治区)的面板数据进行了固定效应分析,并通过安徽和河南的地级市数据做了稳健性检验,研究结果表明:(1)中西部地区劳动力的回流促进了产业从沿海地区向中西部地区转移,而中西部地区产业的承接会促进劳动力的回流,劳动力回流与产业承接相互影响,形成了"循环累积效应";(2)如果只有劳动力回流或产业承接并不能促进中西部地区城镇化水平的提升,只有劳动力回流与产业承接形成交互影响,才能共同促进中西部地区城镇化水平的提升。这种"双转移"具有相互促进的作用,其启示为:(1)劳动力的回流与产业承接需要同步发展;(2)城镇化发展的提升需要回流劳动力和产业承接的合力推进;(3)中西部地区城镇化的水平与质量的提升,需要依据产业梯度发展的理论来推动;(4)中西部地区的城镇化发展需要大力吸引外部资金尤其是外资的流入。
With the rapid development of industrialization and urbanization in coastal areas,the cost of labor factor and land factor in coastal areas is increasing,thus some manufacturing industries start to transfer from coastal areas to the central and western regions.Meanwhile,rural-urban labor begins to return for living cost and the unemployed rate increases.In recent years,a large amount of labor has returned and industries have transferred to the central and western regions,which has promoted the urbanization and economic performance of these regions.This paper uses a spatial equilibrium model to analyze how rural-urban labor and industrial undertaking interact with each other by the"circulating cumulative effect",and why it can increase the urbanization rate in the central and west regions.This paper uses the panel data of 18 provinces(municipalities directly under the central government,autonomous regions)in the central and western regions from 2011 to 2016 to analyze the fixed effect,and uses the data of Anhui and Henan to test the robustness.The results show that:(1)The return of labor force in the central and western regions promotes the industrial transfer from coastal areas to the central and western regions,while industrial undertaking in the central and western regions will promote the return of labor force,and the return of labor force and industrial undertaking will influence each other,forming a"circulating cumulative effect".(2)The return of labor force alone or industrial undertaking alone cannot promote the level of urbanization in the central and western regions;only when the return of labor force and industrial undertaking form an interactive effect,can they jointly promote the level of urbanization in the central and western regions.The enlightenment of"double transfer"is that:(1)The return of labor force and industrial undertaking need to develop simultaneously.(2)The development of urbanization needs to be promoted by the return of labor force and industrial undertaking.(3)The level and quality of urbanization in the central and western regions need to be promoted according to the theory of industrial gradient development.(4)The development of urbanization in the central and western regions needs to vigorously attract the inflow of external funds,especially foreign capital.
作者
颜银根
王光丽
Yan Yingen;Wang Guangli(School of Economics,Nanjing Audit University,Nanjing 211815,China)
出处
《财经研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2020年第2期82-95,共14页
Journal of Finance and Economics
基金
江苏省第五期“333工程”第三层次培养对象(苏人才办〔2018〕6号)
2018年度江苏省社科基金项目重点项目(18EYZ003)
江苏高校哲学社会科学研究基金项目(2018SJA0316)
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71503070).
关键词
劳动力回流
产业承接
城镇化
循环累积效应
return of labor force
industrial undertaking
urbanization
circulating cumulative effect
作者简介
颜银根(1981-),男,江苏大丰人,南京审计大学副教授、硕士生导师;王光丽(1993-),女,安徽合肥人,南京审计大学硕士研究生。
