摘要
文章收集近20年相关数据,利用基尼系数、重心模型、格兰杰因果关系检验等方法,考察旅游发展空间差异变化对经济发展平衡性的影响,结果发现:①近20年来旅游增长速度要高于经济增长速度,西部省区旅游总收入占GDP比重较高,且旅游增长速度远大于经济增长速度,东部省区旅游总收入占GDP比重较低,且旅游增长速度与经济增长速度相差较小。②31省区旅游发展的空间差异和经济发展的不平衡性整体呈减小趋势,尤其旅游发展的区域不平衡明显减小。旅游与经济发展的平衡性有一定的同步性,但在不同区域两者的同步性强弱不同。③旅游发展的空间差异变化会影响到区域经济发展的平衡性,近20年的数据表明,我国大陆31个省区、中部和西部地区,旅游发展的不平衡性与经济发展的不平衡性呈正相关关系,随着旅游发展区域差异的减小,31个省区、中部、西部的旅游发展促进了区域经济发展的平衡,但对东部地区区域经济发展的平衡性无显著影响。
This paper collects relevant data for nearly 20 years,using this ways that Gini coefficient,Gravity center model,and the Granger causality test,examines the impact of tourism development on promoting the balance of regional economic development.The results are as follows:1)The growth rate of tourism has been higher than economics in the past 20 years.The total tourism revenue of the western provinces accounts for a higher proportion of the gross national product,and the growth rate of tourism is much greater than the rate of economic growth.The total tourism revenue of the eastern provinces accounts for a small proportion of the gross national product,and there is a small difference between the growth rate of tourism and the rate of economic growth.2)The imbalance of tourism development and the imbalance of economic development in 31 provinces have shown a decreasing trend,especially in tourism development.The balance between tourism and economic development has a certain degree of synchronization,but in different regions,the synchronization of both is different.3)The balance of tourism development will affect the balance of regional economic development,The data of the past 20 years show that there is a positive correlation between the imbalance of tourism development and the imbalance of economic development in 31 provinces,central and western regions of China Mainland.With the reduction of regional differences in tourism development,tourism development in 31 provinces,central and western regions has promoted the balance of regional economic development.However,it has no significant impact on the balance of regional economic development in the eastern region.
作者
马丽君
张家凤
MA Lijun;ZHANG Jiafeng(Business School,Xiangtan University,Xiangtan 411105,Hunan,China)
出处
《经济地理》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第1期197-203,共7页
Economic Geography
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(41871123)
湖南省社会科学基金项目(17YBA370)
湖南省社会科学评审委员会课题(XSP18YBZ071).
关键词
旅游发展
区域经济
空间平衡
基尼系数
重心模型
tourism development
regional economy
spatial equilibrium
Gini coefficient
center of gravity model
作者简介
马丽君(1981—),男,山东临沂人,博士,副教授,博士生导师。主要研究方向为旅游经济运行。E-mail:ljmaljly@163.com。
