放松落户条件、子女随迁与流动人口家庭稳定性

Relaxing Household Registration Requirements,Children′s Migration with Parents,and the Stability of Migrant Families

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摘要基于2011—2018年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,识别2014年户籍制度改革对流动人口迁移模式及家庭稳定性的影响。研究发现:(1)放松落户条件能够显著促进流动人口家庭的子女随迁;(2)放松落户条件主要通过增强流动人口居留意愿、促进教育机会均等化、提升工作机会公平性及减轻住房压力促进流动人口子女随迁;(3)放松落户条件的政策效应在年纪较轻、教育水平较低、父母在服务业或个体私营企业工作、经济条件受限、子女中有男孩及有长辈随行的家庭及教育资源更丰富、经济发展水平更高、购房门槛更低及社会融入感更强的地区更为明显;(4)放松落户条件有助于推动形成配偶与子女共同迁移的家庭化迁移模式,降低了夫妻离婚概率,增强了流动人口家庭的稳定性。研究能够为进一步优化中国以人为本的城镇化战略、促进流动人口家庭的福祉提升提供政策启示。 Drawing on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey data from 2011 to 2018,this study examines the impact of the 2014 household registration system reform on the migration patterns and family stability of migrants.The findings are as follows:Relaxing household registration requirements promotes the migration of children within migrant families.The relaxation of registration requirements mainly facilitates child migration through the following pathways:enhancing migrants′intention to settle,promoting equal access to education,improving the fairness of employment opportunities,and alleviating housing pressures.The policy effects of relaxing household registration requirements are more pronounced among younger migrants,those with lower educational levels,parents working in the service sector or private enterprises,families with limited economic resources,households with boys among their children,and families accompanied by elderly relatives.Additionally,these effects are more evident in regions with richer educational resources,higher levels of economic development,lower barriers to home purchase,and stronger social integration.Relaxing household registration requirements also helps to foster a family-oriented migration pattern where spouses and children migrate together.This reduces the likelihood of divorce among couples and enhances the stability of migrant families.This research provides policy insights for further optimizing China′s people-oriented urbanization strategy and improving the well-being of migrant families.

作者董妍妍江成涛马瑞光殷江滨 DONG Yanyan;JIANG Chengtao;MA Ruiguang;YING Jiangbin(School of Economics,Renmin University of China,Beijing 100872,China;Faculty of Applied Economics,University of Chinese Academy of Social Sciences,Beijing 102488,China;Research Institute on Economy and Development of Western China,Northwest University,Xi′an 710119,China;Northwest Land and Resource Research Center,Shannxi Normal University,Xi′an 710119,China)

机构地区中国人民大学经济学院中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院西北大学中国西部经济发展研究院陕西师范大学西北国土资源研究中心

出处《人口与发展》北大核心 2025年第5期56-67,共12页 Population and Development

基金国家自然科学基金项目“多尺度空间嵌入视角下回流人口创业的影响机理研究”(42071213)。

关键词放松落户条件子女随迁迁移模式离婚率家庭稳定性 Relax Household Registration Requirements Children′s Migration with Parents Migration Patterns Divorce Rate Family Stability

分类号 C922 [社会学—人口学]

作者简介董妍妍(1997-),女,山东菏泽人,中国人民大学经济学院博士研究生,研究方向:劳动经济学、产业政策、城市发展;通讯作者:江成涛(1996-),男,安徽安庆人,中国社会科学院大学应用经济学院讲师,研究方向:宏观经济理论与政策、经济政策评估、劳动经济学。(电子邮箱:20250076@ucass.edu.cn)。