摘要
为研究内蒙古地区气象灾害对光伏发电工程的影响,利用气象灾害风险评价理论,以致灾因子危险性、承灾体暴露度、承灾体脆弱性为考量维度,借助层次分析法等研究方法体系,针对内蒙古地区光伏发电工程的气象灾害,进行综合风险区划研究。建立光伏发电工程气象灾害风险评估模型,得到内蒙古光伏发电站气象灾害综合风险空间分布整体呈现由西向东略有降低的趋势,东部受到积雪与低温影响风险程度有所增高。高风险区主要分布在阿拉善盟中北部、巴彦淖尔市西部乌拉特后旗地区、锡林郭勒盟中部以及南部。从气象灾害综合风险区划整体结果来看,内蒙古地区光伏发电工程气象灾害影响范围相对集中,且范围较小,总体有利于太阳能发电站的安全运行,在太阳能资源开发建设推进流程中,应着重考量气象灾害给工程建设环节以及后续运营阶段所带来的消极影响,做好气象灾害前期评估工作,完善运营中气象灾害应急预案,将气象灾害的影响降到最低。
In order to study the impact of meteorological disasters on PV power generation projects in Inner Mongolia,based on the meteorological disaster risk assessment theory,the comprehensive risk zoning of meteorological disasters in photovoltaic power generation projects in Inner Mongolia was carried out through analytic hierarchy process(AHP)and other research methods from three aspects:Hazard factors,exposure and vulnerability of disaster recipients.A meteorological disaster risk assessment model for photovoltaic power generation projects was established.As the result the overall spatial distribution of meteorological disaster risk for PV power stations in Inner Mongolia showed a slightly decreasing trend from west to east,while the risk degree of snow cover and low temperature in the east increases.The high risk areas are mainly distributed in the central and northern of the Alxa League,the west of Bayan Nur City;in the central and southern of Xilin Gol League.The risk zoning results show that the scope of meteorological disasters in PV power generation projects in Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region is relatively concentrated and small,which is conducive to the safe operation of PV power stations.Meanwhile,during the process of solar resource development and construction,the negative impact of meteorological disasters on project construction and operation,should be considered in advance.The preliminary assessment of meteorological disasters,and the emergency plan for meterological disasters during operation,and minimize the impact of meteorological disasters.
作者
东方
马玉峰
达布希拉图
刘诗梦
王曼霏
赵艳丽
Dong Fang;Ma Yufeng;Da Bu Xilatu;Liu Shimeng;Wang Manfei;Zhao Yanli(Climate Center of Inner Mongolia,Hohhot 010051,China;Inner Mongolia Meteorological Bureau,Hohhot 010051,China)
出处
《太阳能学报》
北大核心
2025年第8期564-572,共9页
Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica
基金
内蒙古自治区自然科学基金(2024MS04018)
内蒙古自治区气象局科技创新项目(nmgqxkjcx202447)。
关键词
光伏电站
气象灾害
风险区划
致灾因子危险性
内蒙古自治区
PV power station
meteorological disasters
risk zoning
risk of disaster inducing factors
Inner Mongolia
作者简介
通信作者:马玉峰(1980-),男,硕士、高级工程师,主要从事气候资源保护利用及气候应用方面的研究。mayufeng917@126.com。
