摘要
文章探讨了新质生产力与智慧物流之间的耦合关系,并分析了其时空分布特征。通过构建综合评价指标体系并应用耦合协调模型,实证分析发现:两者的耦合协调度表现出显著的区域异质性,整体呈现“东部高、西部低”的空间分异格局。同时,莫兰指数和莫兰散点图的结果证实了两者耦合协调水平存在显著的空间相关性,形成了以上海市和宁夏回族自治区为核心的两大空间集聚区,分别呈现出稳定的“高-高”与“低-低”空间集聚格局。进一步地,通过核密度估计法分析了耦合协调度的时空演进趋势,发现其总体呈现上升趋势,但地区间差异有所扩大。最后,Dagum基尼系数分解法揭示了耦合协调度差异的主要来源为地区间差异,其中东部地区与其他地区间的差异最为显著。针对研究结果,文章提出了相应的政策建议,包括促进区域均衡发展、加强区域合作、支持数字化发展等,以推动新质生产力与智慧物流的协调发展,实现区域经济的稳定增长。
This study investigates the coupling relationship between new quality productive forces and smart logistics,and analyzes their spatiotemporal distribution characteristics.A comprehensive evaluation system and a coupling coordination model are constructed to conduct empirical analysis.The results reveal significant regional disparities in the degree of coupling coordination,showing a spatial differentiation pattern of"high in the east and low in the west."Moreover,the results of the Moran’s I and Moran scatter plots confirm notable spatial correlations,forming two major spatial agglomeration zones centered in Shanghai Municipality and Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region,respectively showing stable"high-high"and"low-low"clustering patterns.Furthermore,kernel density estimation is used to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution of the coupling coordination degree,indicating an overall upward trend accompanied by widening regional disparities.Finally,the Dagum-Gini coefficient decomposition method identifies inter-regional differences as the primary source of variation in coupling coordination,with disparities between the eastern region and other areas being the most pronounced.Based on these findings,the study proposes corresponding policy recommendations,including promoting balanced regional development,strengthening regional cooperation,and supporting digital transformation,to foster coordinated development between new quality productive forces and smart logistics,and achieve stable regional economic growth.
作者
庄伟卿
黄郅锴
唐子婷
ZHUANG Weiqing;HUANG Zhikai;TANG Ziting(Fujian University of Technology,Fuzhou,Fujian 350013,China)
出处
《物流技术》
2025年第8期22-33,共12页
Logistics Technology
基金
福建省自然科学基金面上项目(2022J01941)
福建省智库领导小组重点课题(25MZKB58)
福建省习近平新时代中国特色社会主义思想研究中心课题
福州市社科规划项目(重点)(2023FZB09)。
关键词
新质生产力
智慧物流
耦合协调
地区差异
空间相关性
空间核密度
动态演进
基尼系数
new quality productive forces
smart logistics
coupling coordination
regional disparity
spatial correlation
spatial kernel density
dynamic evolution
Gini coefficient
作者简介
庄伟卿,博士后,福建理工大学副教授,硕士生导师,研究方向为数字技术与数字要素、运作管理;黄郅锴,硕士研究生,研究方向为国际物流与跨境电商;唐子婷,硕士研究生,研究方向为国际物流与跨境电商。
