摘要
旅游交通作为旅游业主要的碳排放源,推进旅游交通碳排放与经济增长脱钩关乎旅游业“双碳”目标的实现和高质量发展。采用“自下而上”核算方法测算分析旅游交通碳排放时空变化,并基于Tapio脱钩模型从全国、三大区域、省级行政区域层面分别解析旅游交通碳排放脱钩效应。研究发现:全国旅游交通碳排放总体呈增长趋势,但不同省级行政区域的演变路径存在显著差异。东部地区碳排放控制能力较强,脱钩状态相对稳定,中西部地区碳排放波动较大,脱钩状态不稳定。从脱钩效应来看,全国层面以弱脱钩为主导模式,尚未实现绝对解耦。从省级行政区域层面看,经济基础较强的省(直辖市、自治区)较早实现低碳转型,而经济基础较弱的省(直辖市、自治区)仍面临高碳排放模式的依赖,低碳发展进程相对滞后。基于研究结论,针对性提出加快绿色交通基础设施建设、优化区域旅游发展模式、完善碳减排政策体系等三个方面对策建议。
As a primary carbon emission source in the tourism industry,achieving decoupling between tourism transportation emissions and economic growth is crucial for realizing the“dual carbon”goals and high-quality development in tourism.This study employs a bottom-up accounting method to measure the spatiotemporal evolution of tourism transportation carbon emissions and applies the Tapio decoupling model to analyze decoupling effects at national,regional(eastern,central,western China)and provincial levels.Key findings reveal:1)National tourism transportation emissions show an overall upward trend with significant provincial variations in emission pathways.2)Eastern China demonstrates stronger emission control capabilities and stable decoupling states compared to the more volatile emission patterns and unstable decoupling status in central and western regions.3)Weak decoupling dominates at the national level,with absolute decoupling yet to be achieved.4)Economically developed provinces have initiated low-carbon transitions earlier,while less developed regions remain constrained by high-emission patterns.The study proposes three policy recommendations:accelerating green transportation infrastructure development,optimizing regional tourism models,and improving carbon reduction policy frameworks to facilitate sustainable tourism transitions.
作者
游建民
YOU Jian-min(Guizhou Academy of Social Science,Guiyang,Guizhou550002,China)
出处
《贵州工程应用技术学院学报》
2025年第3期1-10,共10页
Journal of Guizhou University Of Engineering Science
基金
中国博士后科学基金面上资助项目“‘双重错位锁定’困境下传统制造业的数字化破解与内涵式发展研究”,项目编号:2023M730774。
关键词
旅游交通碳排放
旅游经济增长
Tapio脱钩模型
时空分析
Tourism Transport Carbon Emissions
Tourism Economic Growth
Tapio Decoupling Model
Spatiotemporal Analysis
作者简介
游建民(1988-),男,河南周口人,统计学博士、数学博士后,贵州省社会科学院副研究员。研究方向:绿色经济、低碳经济。
