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数字新质生产力与经济增长动能转换:理论和实证 被引量:2

Digital New Quality Productive Forces and the Transformation of Economic Growth Momentum:Theory and Empirical Evidence
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摘要 数字新质生产力“以新促质”,锚定新发展理念与高质量发展目标,对推动经济增长动能转换具有重要意义。基于2013—2022年286个地级及以上城市面板数据,通过多种计量模型,实证检验数字新质生产力对经济增长动能转换的影响效应。研究表明:数字新质生产力对于经济增长动能转换具有积极推动作用,且该推动作用在资源型城市以及中心城市更为显著。机制检验结果显示,数字新质生产力通过推动产业结构变迁和提升对外贸易水平两条机制渠道促进经济增长动能转换。调节效应检验结果证实,营商环境在数字新质生产力推动经济增长动能转换过程中发挥正向调节作用。门限效应分析表明,人力资本在数字新质生产力对经济增长动能转换的影响效应存在显著非线性门限效应。基于此,提出培育数字新质生产力,激发全新经济增长点,调整经济结构,加快新旧动能转换,优化营商环境布局,构建经济动能新引擎的政策建议,为培育数字新质生产力,赋能经济增长动能转换提供有益借鉴。 It is of great significance to promote the transformation of economic growth momentum by digital new quality productive forces,which“promote quality through innovation”and anchor in new development concepts and high-quality development goals.Based on the panel data of 286 prefecture-level and the above cities from 2013 to 2022,this paper empirically tests the impact of digital new quality productive forces on the transformation of economic growth momentum through a variety of econometric models.The research shows that digital new quality productive forces play positive roles in promoting the transformation of economic growth momentum,and this role is more significant in resource-based cities and central cities.Mechanism test results show that digital new quality productive forces promote the transformation of economic growth momentum by promoting the change of industrial structure and improving the level of foreign trade.The results of moderating effect test confirm that business environment plays a positive moderating role in the process of digital new quality productive force promoting the transformation of economic growth momentum.Threshold effect analysis shows that human capital has a significant nonlinear threshold effect on the impact of digital new quality productive forces on the transformation of economic growth momentum.Based on this,it is proposed to cultivate new digital quality productive forces and stimulate new economic growth points;adjust the economic structure and accelerate the transformation of old and new momentum.The policy suggestions of optimizing the layout of the business environment and building new engines for economic momentum provide valuable insights for cultivating digital new quality productive forces and empowering the transformation of economic growth momentum.
作者 徐诗航 徐晓风 XU Shihang;XU Xiaofeng(School of Marxism,Harbin Normal University,Harbin150025,China)
出处 《云南财经大学学报》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第12期1-16,共16页 Journal of Yunnan University of Finance and Economics
基金 国家社会科学基金重大研究专项“社会主义核心价值观推进精神文明建设制度研究”(20VHJ010)。
关键词 数字新质生产力 经济增长动能转换 产业结构变迁 对外贸易 营商环境 Digital New Quality Productive Forces Transformation of Economic Growth Momentum Industrial Structure Change Foreign Trade Business Environment
作者简介 徐诗航(1988-),男,黑龙江佳木斯人,哈尔滨师范大学马克思主义学院博士研究生,主要研究方向为马克思主义、共同富裕、新质生产力;徐晓风(1956-),男,黑龙江哈尔滨人,哈尔滨师范大学马克思主义学院教授,博士,博士生导师,主要研究方向为马克思主义、共同富裕、新质生产力。
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