摘要
本文运用爬虫技术梳理了中欧班列的开行情况,将时间敏感度引入迪克西特-斯蒂格利兹(Dixit-Stiglitz)垄断竞争模型,从理论和实证两方面研究了中欧班列对企业出口的影响。研究结果表明:中欧班列开通后带来了贸易促进效应和贸易转移效应,其开行密度越高则越能促进企业的出口;贸易转移效应与各行业的时间敏感度相关,时间敏感度越高,则企业越有可能选择中欧班列出口,但企业市场势力的存在削弱了贸易转移效应;中欧班列对处于价值链行业和新型优势产业企业的出口促进作用更强,对东部地区企业和向欧洲方向出口企业的促进作用更大。本研究对如何促进中欧班列稳步发展具有政策参考意义。
Using crawler technology,this paper analyses the status of the China-Europe Railway Express in both domestic and international areas,incorporating time sensitivity into the Dixit-Stiglitz model of monopolistic competition,and examines the impact of the China-Europe Railway Express on enterprise exports from both theoretical and empirical perspectives.The findings show that the China-Europe Railway Express brings about both a trade promotion effect and a trade diversion effect,and the greater the operational density,the more it promotes enterprise exports.The trade diversion effect correlates with the industry's time sensitivity.The greater the time sensitivity is,the more likely enterprises are to choose the China-Europe Railway Express for exporting.However,market power weakens the trade diversion ffect.Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the China-Europe Railway Express has a stronger export-promoting effect on enterprises in valuechain industries and those in new advantageous industries.The railway is also found to have a stronger promoting effect on enterprises that are located in the eastern region.This study provides policy implications for promoting the steady development of the China-Europe Railway Express.
作者
洪俊杰
詹迁羽
HONG Junjie;ZHAN Qianyu
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2024年第4期28-46,共19页
Journal of International Trade
基金
国家自然科学基金专项项目“绿色壁垒风险对贸易的影响、机制与应对策略”(72341019)。
关键词
中欧班列
企业出口
时间敏感度
爬虫技术
The China-Europe Railway Express
Enterprise Exports
Time Sensitivity
Crawler Technology
作者简介
洪俊杰:山东财经大学教授;通讯作者:詹迁羽:对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院博士研究生,电子信箱201800170029@uibe.edu.cn。
