摘要
基于协同发展理论,采用2011—2020年长三角城市群面板数据,运用耦合协调度模型和障碍度模型探究长三角城市群基本公共服务-人口发展-区域经济系统的耦合协调时空演变和影响关联效应。结果表明:(1)2011—2020年长三角城市群基本公共服务、人口发展与区域经济发展水平呈上升发展态势,其中人口发展水平低于基本公共服务与区域经济发展水平。(2)耦合协调度呈上升趋势,85%的城市发展为协调发展状态,2020年较2011年提升22%,空间上呈现“核心高、边缘低”的分布格局。(3)从影响关联程度来看,耦合协调度是由政府投资调控力、经济发展拉动力、人口质量保障力综合作用的结果。一般公共预算支出、科研技术人员比重、地区生产总值增长率对耦合协调发展水平影响较大。
Based on the theory of collaborative development,the data of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration from 2011 to 2020 were used to explore the spatiotemporal evolution and impact correlation effect of the coupling coordination of basic public services,population development and regional economic system of the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration by using the coupling coordination model and the obstacle degree model.The results showed that:(1) The level of basic public services,population development and economic development showed an overall upward trend during the study period,among which the population development level was lower than that of basic public services and regional economic development;(2) The coupling system showed an upward trend,and 85% of the urban development was in a coordinated development state,an increase of 22% over 2011,showing a distribution pattern of “core high-edge low” in space;(3) From the perspective of the degree of impact correlation,the coupling and coordination degree is the result of the comprehensive effect of the government's investment regulation and control power,economic development driving force,and population quality assurance power.Among them,the general public budget expenditure,the proportion of scientific research and technical personnel,and the growth rate of regional GDP have a great impact on the level of coupled and coordinated development.
作者
武田艳
黎庆玲
何净净
WU Tianyan;LI Qingling;HE Jingjing(School of Urban Construction and Safety Engineering,Shanghai Institute of Technology,Shanghai 201418,China)
出处
《地域研究与开发》
CSSCI
北大核心
2023年第4期21-28,共8页
Areal Research and Development
基金
国家自然科学基金青年项目(71403173)
上海市哲学社会科学规划项目(2019BGL038)。
关键词
基本公共服务
人口发展
区域经济
耦合协调
长三角城市群
basic public services
population development
regional economy
coupling coordination
Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration
作者简介
武田艳(1979-),女,山西晋中市人,教授,博士,主要从事城市公共服务管理、城市发展与管理研究,E-mail:wty@sit.edu.cn;通信作者:黎庆玲(1999-),女,湖南株洲市人,硕士研究生,主要从事公共服务管理研究,E-mail:liqingling0710@163.com。
