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人口老龄化对我国旅游业高质量发展的影响及空间效应 被引量:10

Impact and Spatial Effects of Aging Population on the High-quality Development of Tourism Industry in China
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摘要 基于2005—2019年我国31个省份面板数据,构建旅游业高质量发展水平评价指标体系,分析人口老龄化对旅游业高质量发展的影响及其空间效应。结果表明:(1)2005—2019年,我国旅游业高质量发展整体水平不断提升,区域差异不断缩小,但“东部—中部—西部”逐渐递减的空间分布格局一直存在。(2)人口老龄化能够显著促进旅游业高质量发展,但在影响程度上存在区域异质性。(3)人口老龄化在促进本地区旅游业高质量发展的同时,也会对周边地区旅游业高质量发展产生正向影响,具有显著的空间溢出效应。(4)人口老龄化为我国旅游业高质量发展提供了“契机”。 Based on the provincial panel data of China from 2005 to 2019,this paper constructed an evaluation index system for the high-quality development level of the tourism industry,and analyzed the impact of population aging on the high-quality development of the tourism industry and its spatial effect.The results showed that:(1)From 2005 to 2019,the overall level of high-quality tourism development in China had been improving,and the regional differences had been narrowing,but the spatial distribution law of“east-central-west”gradually decreasing had always existed.(2)Population aging could significantly promote the high-quality development of tourism,and there was regional heterogeneity in the impact degree.(3)Aging population not only promoted the high-quality development of tourism in the region,but also had a positive impact on the high-quality development of tourism in the surrounding areas,which was mainly manifested as spatial spillover effect.(4)The aging population provided an“opportunity”for the high-quality development of China′s tourism industry.
作者 袁洪英 张广海 YUAN Hong-ying;ZHANG Guang-hai(College of Management,Ocean University of China,Qingdao 266100,China)
出处 《资源开发与市场》 CAS 北大核心 2022年第9期1137-1144,共8页 Resource Development & Market
基金 国家社会科学基金项目(编号:19BGL138) 山东省社会科学规划项目(编号:19CDNJ14)。
关键词 人口老龄化 旅游业 高质量发展 影响 空间效应 population aging tourism industry high-quality development impact spatial effects
作者简介 第一作者:袁洪英(1992-),女,四川省眉山人,博士研究生,研究方向为旅游规划与区域经济研究。;通讯作者:张广海(1963-),男,山东省临沂人,博士,教授,博士生导师,研究方向为旅游规划与区域经济研究。
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