中国对“一带一路”沿线国家高质量投资研究——规模、效率与潜力被引量：7

The Research on China’s High-Quality Investment in the Countries along the Belt and Road——Scale,Efficiency and Potential

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摘要投资规模、投资效率和投资潜力是高质量投资的核心内容,在推进"一带一路"倡仪中发挥着重要作用。本文从这三个角度出发,基于2011~2017年间中国对"一带一路"沿线57个国家的OFDI数据,构建随机前沿模型,分析中国对"一带一路"沿线国家高质量投资规模的影响因素,为提升中国对外投资效率和发掘投资潜力提供新的解决思路,也为中国与沿线国家间的产业合作明确方向。研究结果显示:就投资规模而言,"一带一路"沿线国家经济总量越大时,将显著吸引中国对该类东道国的OFDI,但中国与"一带一路"东道国距离以及东道国自身的经济自由度越高,反而会降低对中国OFDI的吸引力;就投资效率而言,中国对"一带一路"沿线国家顺梯度OFDI效率没有明显提升,但逆梯度OFDI效率有稳定上升;就投资潜力而言,中国需要挖掘对东亚、中亚、南亚以及东盟地区投资的新增长点和投资新契机,目前中国对独联体地区的投资相对薄弱,有待加强。 Investment scale,investment efficiency and investment potential are the core contents of high-quality investment,and investment play an important role in the"Belt and Road"initiative.From the perspective of these three points,based on the China’s OFDI data of 57 countries along the"Belt and Road"from 2011 to 2017,this paper constructs a Stochastic Frontier Model,and the factors affecting China’s high-quality investment in the"Belt and Road"countries are analyzed,which provides new solutions for enhancing efficiency and potential of China’s foreign investment and a clear direction for industrial cooperation with countries along the line.The results show that in terms of investment scale,the larger a country’s economic aggregate,the more attractive it will be to China’s OFDI.However,the greater the distance between China and host countries and the higher the economic freedom of the host country itself,the attraction to China’s OFDI will be decreased.In terms of investment efficiency,the Up-gradient OFDI efficiency in the"Belt and Road"countries has not improved significantly,but the efficiency of Down-gradient OFDI has increased steadily.In terms of investment potential,China needs to explore investment opportunities in East Asia,Central Asia,South Asia and ASEAN.At present,China’s investment in the CIS region is relatively weak and needs to be strengthened.

作者刘震潘雨晨庞雨蒙 LIU Zhen;PAN Yu-chen;PANG Yu-meng(School of Business,Shandong University(Weihai),Weihai 264209,China;Institute of International Studies,Shandong University(Weihai),Weihai 264209,China;School of Public Finance and Taxation,Nanjing University of Finance&Economics,Nanjing 210046,China)

机构地区山东大学商学院山东大学国际问题研究院南京财经大学财政与税务学院

出处《上海对外经贸大学学报》北大核心 2021年第2期69-81,共13页 Journal of Shanghai University of International Business and Economics

基金国家社会科学基金重大项目“我国海外园区全球布局的空间选择与协同治理”(项目编号:19ZDA137) 国家社会科学基金青年项目“价值链视角下我国海外园区空间布局对‘一带一路’高质量发展的影响研究”(项目编号:20CJL016)的共同资助。

关键词对外直接投资高质量发展一带一路对外开放 OFDI high-quality development BRI open up

分类号 F74 [经济管理—国际贸易]

作者简介刘宸:山东大学商学院博士后,经济学博士。研究方向:国际经济与投资;潘雨晨:山东大学国际问题研究院博士后,经济学博士。研究方向:国际经济与投资;庞雨蒙:南京财经大学财政与税务学院讲师,经济学博士。研究方向:公共经济学。