摘要
以“一带一路”沿线国家中中国的主要贸易伙伴国为研究对象,选取这些国家2006-2018年与中国的贸易数据,利用拓展的引力模型分析影响这些国家和中国的贸易水平的主要因素,并测算其贸易潜力。“一带一路”沿线主要贸易伙伴国和中国的人均GDP水平、均为APEC成员、贸易伙伴国的贸易自由度水平和金融自由度水平对促进各国与中国的贸易有显著的正向影响,而地理距离则显著地阻碍了贸易。据此测算出大部分国家与中国的贸易潜力尚未完全发挥,仍有上升空间。
Focusing on China's main trade partners along the Belt and Road and collecting their trade data with China between 2006 and 2018,this paper figures out the factors that influence the trade between these countries and China through applying the extended gravity model,and calculates their trade potential with China.This paper finds that the GDP per capita of both the trade partner and China,being a member of APEC,the trade freedom of the trade partner and the financial freedom of the trade partner all have significantly positive influence on its trade flow with China,while the distance from the trade partner to China has remarkably negative influence on it.Moreover,the estimated trade potential of these trade partners with China shows that there exists huge space for most of these countries along the Belt and Road to expand their trade with China.
作者
袁晓楠
YUAN Xiaonan(Business School,Nanjing University,Nanjing,Jiangsu,210093)
出处
《成都大学学报（社会科学版）》
2020年第5期46-56,共11页
Journal of Chengdu University (Social Sciences)
关键词
“一带一路”
引力模型
贸易潜力
the Belt and Road Initiative
gravity model
trade potential
作者简介
袁晓楠(1996-),女,南京大学商学院硕士研究生。
