摘要
利用Tapio弹性脱钩指数分析不同产业碳排放与经济增长之间的关系,并采用LMDI分解法分析不同产业碳排放影响因素。结果表明:(1)不同产业所处脱钩状态不同:贸易餐饮业为强脱钩;农业为弱脱钩;生活消费处于增长连接;工业与建筑业均为扩张负脱钩;交通邮政业为强负脱钩。(2)能源强度和产业规模是促进碳排放变化的主要影响效应类型。能源强度是工业、交通邮政业的主要影响因素,且具有促进作用;该效应也是贸易餐饮业的主要影响因素,但起抑制作用。产业规模则是农业、建筑业和生活消费的主要影响因素,且均具有促进作用。碳强度和能源结构由于能源消费品种单一而作用微弱。最后提出产业低碳化发展的建议。
This paper analyzed the decoupling relationship between carbon emission and economic growth by using Tapio elastic decoupling index, and investigated the influencing factors of carbon emission by using LMDI decomposition method. The results indicate that： （1） Different industries are in different decoupling state. Trade and catering industry is strong decoupling; agriculture is weak decoupling; living consumption is in the growth of connection; industry and construction are the expansion of negative decoupling; and transportation and postal services is strong negative decoupling. （2） Energy intensity and industry scale are the main effects affecting carbon emissions. The energy intensity is the main influencing factor of the industry and transportation and postal services, and it promotes carbon emissions; the effect is also the main influencing factor of the trade and catering industry, but it inhibits carbon emissions. The industrial scale is the main influencing factor of agriculture, construction and living consumption, and it promotes carbon emissions in various industries. Due to the single energy consumption type, carbon intensity and energy structure are weak. Finally, the suggestions for the development of low carbon industry are put forward.
出处
《生态经济》
北大核心
2017年第3期71-75,80,共6页
Ecological Economy
基金
江苏省高校哲学社会科学研究一般项目"基于脱钩理论的江苏省碳排放情景分析"(2016SJB790036)
国家自然科学基金项目"农村土地制度与资源配置"(71322301)
国家统计局项目"碳排放空间转移对区域协同发展的影响效应研究"(2014LY036)
关键词
碳排放
脱钩
影响因素
江苏省
carbon emissions
decoupling
influencing factors
Jiangsu Province
作者简介
第一作者简介：卢娜（1982-），女，河北正定人，博士，讲师，研究方向为低碳经济。E-mail：luna@ujs．edu．cn
通讯作者简介：冯淑怡（1973-），女，江苏东台人，博士，教授，研宄方向为资源经济与可持续发展。E-mail：shuyifeng@njau．edu．cn
