全球价值链中产业“微笑曲线”存在吗?——基于增加值平均传递步长方法被引量：88

Is There Smile Curves of Industry in Global Value Chains

导出

摘要本文在全球投入产出模型框架中首次提出测度产业部门位置的"广义增加值平均传递步长"新方法,并从强度和长度两个维度,全方位分析境外增加值贡献率-位置的关系,进而考察产业部门层面的"微笑曲线"是否存在。研究表明:本文的新方法提供了测度全球价值链位置的统一逻辑框架,几乎囊括了所有的其他位置测度方法。产业部门层面的"微笑曲线"不具有普遍意义,比如中国电子和光学仪器制造业略呈"微笑曲线"形状且逐步加深化,而中国纺织业却不存在。 Based on the global input-output model, this paper firstly proposes a generalized framework for measuring industry position hy method of general ＂average propagation lengths＂ . From the perspective of participating strength and length of global value chains. this pat）er fully analyzes the relationship between value-added contribution rate of foreign industry to a domestic industry and the position, and tries to testify if there exists a smile curves. The results show that the new method of defining the concept of general value-added average propagation lengths provides a unified framework to measure the position of global value chain, including almost of all the other methods of measuring position of global value chain in the literature. The industry level ＂smile curve＂ does not have the universal significance. The electronic and optical instrument manufacturing industry of China is slightly a ＂＇smile curve＂ shape, but the smile curve of China textile industry does not exist.

作者倪红福

机构地区中国社会科学院财经战略研究院

出处《数量经济技术经济研究》 CSSCI 北大核心 2016年第11期111-126,F0003,共17页 Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基金国家社会科学基金重大项目"扩大我国服务业对外开放的路径与战略研究"(14ZDA084) 国家自然科学基金项目"基于双区域OLG-CGE模型人口老龄化对区域经济的影响研究"(71401009) 国家自然科学基金重点项目"新阶段我国城市化发展道路的选择及管理研究"(71133003) 北京市自然科学青年基金"基于区域CGE模型的京津冀一体化研究"(9154028)的资助

关键词生产网络体系全球价值链全球投入产出表增加值平均传递步长 Global Production Network Global Value Chains Global Input -Output Table Value-added Average Propagation Lengths

分类号 F742 [经济管理—国际贸易]

引文网络
相关文献

参考文献17

1Antrds P. , Chor D. , Fally T. , Hillberry R. , 2012, Measuring the Upstreamness of Production and Trade Flows [J], American Economic Review Papers and Proceedings, 102 (3), 412~416.
2Dietzenbacher E. , Romero I. , Bosma N. S. , 2005, Using Average Propagation Lengths to Identi- fy Production Chains in the Andalusian Economy [J], Estudios De Economia Aplicada, 23, 405~422.
3Dietzenbacher E. , Romero I. , 2007, Production Chain in an Interregional Framework : Identification by Means of Average Propagation Lengths [J], International Regional Science Review, 30 (4), 362~383.
4Escaith H. , Inomata S. , 2013, Geometry of Global Value Chains in East Aisa .. The Role of Indus- trial Networks and Trade Policies [A], In; Elms D. K. , Low P. (Eds.), Global Value Chains in a Chan- ging World [C], WTO Secretariat, Switzerland.
5Fally T. , 2012, Production Staging.. Measurement and Facts [R], Mimeo, University of Colorado- Boulder.
6Gereffi G. , 2013, Economic and Social Upgrading and Work force Development in the Apparel Global Value Chain [R], Korea Labor Institute.
7Hummels D. , Ishii J. , Yi K. M. , 2001, The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade [J], Journal of International Economics, 54 (1), 75~96.
8Inomata S., 2008, A New Measurement for International Fragmentation of the Production Process : An International Input-Output Approach [R], JDE Discussion Paper, No. 175.
9Johnson R. C. , Noguera G. , 2012, Accounting for Intermediates .. Production Sharing and Trade in Value Added [J], Journal of International Economics, 86 (2), 224~236.
10Koopman R. , Wang Z. , Wei S. J. , 2014, Tracing Value-added and Double Counting in Gross Export [J], American Economic Review, 104 (2), 459~494.

二级参考文献23

1Adelman, M. A., 1955, "Concept and Statistical Measure- ment of Vertical Integration", Business Concentration and Price Policy, Princeton: Princeton University Press.
2Antras, P., 2003, "Firms, Contracts and Trade Struc- ture" , Quarterly Journal of Economics, Vol. 118, No.4, pp.1375~ 1418.
3Acemoglu Daron, Philippe Aghion, Rachel Griffith and Fabrizio Zilibotti, 2010, "Vertical Integration and Technology: Theory and Evidenc", Journal of the European Economic Associa- tion, Vol.85, No.5, pp. 1 ~45.
4Carlos, J. J. Dias, J. Ferreira, 2008, "Assessing Econom- ic Complexity with Input-output Based Measures", Department of Economics of Technical University of Lisbon Working Paper, No.23.
5Costinot, A., L. Oldenski, J. Rauch, 2011, "Adaptationand the Boundary of Multinational Firms', The Review of Econom- ics and Statistics, Vol.93, No. 1, pp.298~308.
6Dedrick, J., K. L. Kraemer and G. Linden, 2010, "Who Profits from Innovation in Global Value Chains?: A Study of the iPod and Notebook PCs" , Industrial and Corporate Change, Vol. 19 ( 1 ), pp.81-116.
7Fally, T., 2011, "On the Fragmentation of Production in the US", Mimeo, October.
8Fally, T., 2012, "Production Staging: Measurement and Facts", Mimeo, June.
9Grossman, G. and M. Rossi-Hansberg, 2008, "Trading Tasks: A Simple Theory of Offshoring", American Economic Re- view, Vol.98, No.5, pp. 1978-1997.
10Hummels, David, Ishii, Jun and Yi, Kei-Mu, 2001, "The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade", Journal of International Economics, Vol.54, No.1, pp.75~ 96.