摘要
人口流动受地区经济发展和开放程度的影响,Pearson相关性检验表明,城镇化水平与贸易依存度、外商直接投资占固定资产投资比重的相关系数达0.82和0.79。外商直接投资通过促进产业集聚、提高劳动力需求及其本身的外溢效应促进城镇化,贸易通过就业创造和收入效应影响城镇化进程。文章的计算结果表明,在全国层面经济开放能提高城镇化率,贸易依存度和外商直接投资的影响弹性分别为0.02和0.05。分地区看,贸易对沿海地区城镇化的作用已不显著;与内陆地区相比,沿海地区外商直接投资存量的弹性系数更高,但相同数量的新增外商直接投资对内陆地区城镇化的影响更大。
The trend of population movement depends on regional economic development and openness.Pearson correlation test shows the coefficient between urbanization rate and trade dependence is up to 0.82,while urbanization and proportion of FDI in fixed asset investment is 0.79.FDI affects urbanization by promoting industrial agglomeration,increasing labor demand and its own spillovers,and trade pushes the process of urbanization through employment creation and income effects.Empirical study on national data proves positive effect of economic openness on urbanization,and shows that impact elasticity of trade dependence and FDI is 0.02 and 0.05,respectively.Subregional measurement results indicate that trade in coastal areas has no significant influence on urbanization,and the effect of FDI is greater in inlands than that in coastal areas.
出处
《中国人口科学》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第5期78-86,127,共9页
Chinese Journal of Population Science
基金
中国博士后科学基金项目(2012M510660)"中国承接国际产业转移的就业效应研究"的阶段性成果
浙江省技术创新与企业国际化研究中心的资助
作者简介
郭东杰浙江工业大学经贸管理学院，副教授
王晓庆浙江￡业大学经贸管理学院，硕士研究生。
