摘要
中国人口生育水平的下降和平均预期寿命的延长,导致原来的人口红利出现了转变的趋势,也造成了老龄化负担的加剧。在这种情况下,实行提高退休年龄的政策具备了某种可能性,因为人口红利的逐渐消失和劳动力供求的逆转可能成为提高退休年龄的推力,而养老金制度的老龄化危机则成为提高退休年龄的拉力。在现实条件下,考虑这一政策对城镇就业的冲击以及劳动力异质性的影响,应该实施渐进缓慢、逐步提高退休年龄的政策。
China＇ s low fertility combined with increase in average life expectancy is leading to disappearing demographic dividend and population aging crisis. In this case, we may have a policy choice to raise the retirement age. Beacuse the disappearing of demographic dividend gradually and the reversal of labur supply and demand may be the driving force of raising the retire- ment age, and the payment crisis of pension system which caused by the population aging may be the pulling force of raising the retirement age. If we consider the impact of this policy on ur- ban employment and the labor heterogeneity in current conditions, we should carry out the prac- tical policy which raise the retirement age slowly progressive and gradually.
出处
《人口与发展》
CSSCI
北大核心
2011年第4期39-47,63,共10页
Population and Development
关键词
人口红利
老龄化
退休年龄
demographic dividend
population aging
retirement age
作者简介
柳清瑞（1964一），男，吉林农安人，辽宁大学人El研究所教授，副所长，经济学博士，研究方向为人口、就业与社会保障。
