摘要
本文通过建立FDI对出口贸易增长影响的理论分析框架,将内生性分析引入出口贸易增长模型,并借助1990~2005年我国30个省市的出口贸易与FDI流入的统计数据,分三个阶段:1990~1997年、1998~2001年和2002~2005年进行实证检验。得出结论:我国省区FDI与出口之间存在正相关关系,FDI流入形成内生出口贸易增长效应,结果支持"FDI的出口贸易促进论",出口贸易对FDI流入起"示范"效应。
By setting up the theoretical analysis framework for the effect of FDI on the increase of export trade, we introduce the endogenous analysis into the model of trade growth. With the statistic data of the export trade and FDI inflow of 30 provinces and cities from 1990 to 2005, we divide the whole development history into three periods ; from 1990 to 1997, from 1998 to 2001 and the experimental testing period from 2002 to 2005. It concludes that: the FDI inflow will cause the endogenous effect of export trade growth, which supports the theory of FDI facilitating export trade, that is, the export trade will play a model role for FDI inflow.
出处
《南方经济》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第5期45-57,共13页
South China Journal of Economics
作者简介
电子信箱:zhoujingx@126.com