摘要
近年来,全球经贸环境不确定性大幅增加,严重影响中国的大豆进口稳定性,对于中国的大豆供给安全产生威胁。目前中国大豆进口存在的问题主要有:一是中国大豆产需缺口较大,高度依赖进口局面难以扭转;二是中国大豆进口来源集中,进口稳定性易受威胁;三是贸易政策不确定性增加,大豆进口受到持续影响;四是供给价格不稳定,大豆进口价格波动较大等。为此,中国应提早布局,积极面对,具体提出如下四个建议:一是增加国内大豆供给,合理增加大豆储备;二是丰富大豆进口来源,促进大豆进口多元化;三是加强区域经贸合作,打造大豆贸易新格局;四是完善价格形成机制,健全市场信息服务体系。
In recent years,the intensification of trade frictions between the US and China and the spread of COVID-19 have led to a significant increase in uncertainty in the global economic and trade environment,seriously afcting the stability of China’s soybean imports and posing a huge threat to the security of China's soybean supply.The main problems with China's soybean imports are:Firstly,the large gap between China's soybean production and demand,and the difficulty of reversing the high dependence on imports;secondly,the concentration of China's soybean import sources,and the vulnerability of import stability;thirdly,the increased uncertainty in trade policy,and the continued impact on soybean imports;fourthly,the instability of supply prices,and the high voltility of soybean import prices.To this end,China should lay out early and actively face the following suggestions:first,increase domestic soybean supply and reasonably increase soybean reserves;second,enrich soybean import sources and promote soybean import diversification;third,strengthen regional economic and trade cooperation and create a new pattern of soybean trade;fourth,improve the price formation mechanism and sound market information service system.
作者
马婕
Ma Jie(Institute of Food and Strategic Reserves,Nanjing University of Finance&Economics,Nanjing 210023)
出处
《粮食经济研究》
2023年第1期51-60,共10页
Food Economics Research
基金
南京财经大学博士人才科研专项课题“贸易政策不确定性对中国粮食出口影响研究”(M-JXW21001)
关键词
大豆进口
现状
问题
对策
不确定性
Soybean imports
Current situation
Problems
Countemeasures
Uncertainties
