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基于NeuralProphet组合模型的云计算资源负载预测
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作者 李好 谢晓兰 郭强 《现代电子技术》 北大核心 2025年第22期145-152,共8页
云计算的快速发展使得服务器面临的负载压力逐渐增加,如何精准预测负载资源成为云中心资源分配与服务器安全运行的重要课题。现有的单一模型在捕捉全局特征方面存在不足,而组合模型在处理时序数据时的平稳性和解释性方面有所欠缺。因此... 云计算的快速发展使得服务器面临的负载压力逐渐增加,如何精准预测负载资源成为云中心资源分配与服务器安全运行的重要课题。现有的单一模型在捕捉全局特征方面存在不足,而组合模型在处理时序数据时的平稳性和解释性方面有所欠缺。因此,提出一种基于NeuralProphet分解的卷积神经网络(CNN)-长短期记忆(LSTM)网络-注意力(Attention)机制的组合模型。NeuralProphet将负载数据分解为趋势、季节和自回归项分量,增强数据的平稳性和解释性,从而使模型能更高效地捕捉全局特征和长期依赖关系;并通过注意力机制动态权重分配,聚焦影响预测结果的关键特征,进一步提高对未来时刻的预测精度。在Alibaba Cluster Data V2018数据集上的实验结果表明,所提出的组合模型在预测精度和性能方面优于其他深度学习模型。与单一模型NeuralProphet及CNN-BiLSTM组合模型相比,该模型在R2评分上提高了17.9%,均方根误差(RMSE)降低了73.6%,平均绝对误差(MAE)降低了69.7%,对称平均绝对百分比误差(sMAPE)降低了65.3%,具备更高的预测准确性和鲁棒性,有助于提高云资源利用效率。 展开更多
关键词 云计算 资源负载预测 neuralProphet模型 卷积神经网络 长短期记忆网络 注意力机制 组合模型
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Detection of geohazards caused by human disturbance activities based on convolutional neural networks
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作者 ZHANG Heng ZHANG Diandian +1 位作者 YUAN Da LIU Tao 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第S1期731-738,共8页
Human disturbance activities is one of the main reasons for inducing geohazards.Ecological impact assessment metrics of roads are inconsistent criteria and multiple.From the perspective of visual observation,the envir... Human disturbance activities is one of the main reasons for inducing geohazards.Ecological impact assessment metrics of roads are inconsistent criteria and multiple.From the perspective of visual observation,the environment damage can be shown through detecting the uncovered area of vegetation in the images along road.To realize this,an end-to-end environment damage detection model based on convolutional neural network is proposed.A 50-layer residual network is used to extract feature map.The initial parameters are optimized by transfer learning.An example is shown by this method.The dataset including cliff and landslide damage are collected by us along road in Shennongjia national forest park.Results show 0.4703 average precision(AP)rating for cliff damage and 0.4809 average precision(AP)rating for landslide damage.Compared with YOLOv3,our model shows a better accuracy in cliff and landslide detection although a certain amount of speed is sacrificed. 展开更多
关键词 convolutional neural network DETECTION environment damage CLIFF LANDSLIDE
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Catalpol Promotes Differentiation of Neural Stem Cells into Oligodendrocyte via Caveolin-1-dependent Pathway in The 3D Microfluidic Chip
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作者 WANG Ya-Chen WANG Liang +1 位作者 SHEN Li-Ming LIU Jing 《生物化学与生物物理进展》 北大核心 2025年第11期2842-2853,共12页
Objective Cerebral palsy(CP)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder acquired during the perinatal period,with periventricular white matter injury(PWMI)serving as its primary pathological hallmark.PWMI is characteri... Objective Cerebral palsy(CP)is a prevalent neurodevelopmental disorder acquired during the perinatal period,with periventricular white matter injury(PWMI)serving as its primary pathological hallmark.PWMI is characterized by the loss of oligodendrocytes(OLs)and the disintegration of myelin sheaths,leading to impaired neural connectivity and motor dysfunction.Neural stem cells(NSCs)represent a promising regenerative source for replenishing lost OLs;however,conventional twodimensional(2D)in vitro culture systems lack the three-dimensional(3D)physiological microenvironment.Microfluidic chip technology has emerged as a powerful tool to overcome this limitation by enabling precise spatial and temporal control over 3D microenvironmental conditions,including the establishment of stable concentration gradients of bioactive molecules.Catalpol,an iridoid glycoside derived from traditional medicinal plants,exhibits dual antioxidant and anti-apoptotic properties.Despite its therapeutic potential,the capacity of catalpol to drive NSC differentiation toward OLs under biomimetic 3D conditions,as well as the underlying molecular mechanisms,remains poorly understood.This study aims to develop a microfluidic-based 3D biomimetic platform to systematically investigate the concentration-dependent effects of catalpol on promoting NSCs-to-OLs differentiation and to elucidate the role of the caveolin-1(Cav-1)signaling pathway in this process.Methods We developed a novel multiplexed microfluidic device featuring parallel microchannels with integrated gradient generators capable of establishing and maintaining precise linear concentration gradients(0-3 g/L catalpol)across 3D NSCs cultures.This platform facilitated the continuous perfusion culture of NSC-derived 3D spheroids,mimicking the dynamic in vivo microenvironment.Real-time cell viability was assessed using Calcein-AM/propidium iodide(PI)dual staining,with fluorescence imaging quantifying live/dead cell ratios.Oligodendrocyte differentiation was evaluated through quantitative reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction(qRT-PCR)for MBP and SOX10 gene expression,complemented by immunofluorescence staining to visualize corresponding protein changes.To dissect the molecular mechanism,the Cav-1-specific pharmacological inhibitor methyl‑β‑cyclodextrin(MCD)was employed to perturb the pathway,and its effects on differentiation markers were analyzed.Results Catalpol demonstrated excellent biocompatibility,with cell viability exceeding 96%across the entire tested concentration range(0-3 g/L),confirming its non-cytotoxic nature.At the optimal concentration of 0-3 g/L,catalpol significantly upregulated both MBP and SOX10 expression(P<0.05,P<0.01),indicating robust promotion of oligodendroglial differentiation.Intriguingly,Cav-1 mRNA expression was progressively downregulated during NSC differentiation into OLs.Further inhibition of Cav-1 with MCD further enhanced this effect,leading to a statistically significant increase in OL-specific gene expression(P<0.05,P<0.01),suggesting Cav-1 acts as a negative regulator of OLs differentiation.Conclusion This study established an integrated microfluidic gradient chip-3D NSC spheroid culture system,which combines the advantages of precise chemical gradient control with physiologically relevant 3D cell culture.The findings demonstrate that 3 g/L catalpol effectively suppresses Cav-1 signaling to drive NSC differentiation into functional OLs.This work not only provides novel insights into the Cav-1-dependent mechanisms of myelination but also delivers a scalable technological platform for future research on remyelination therapies,with potential applications in cerebral palsy and other white matter disorders.The platform’s modular design permits adaptation for screening other neurogenic compounds or investigating additional signaling pathways involved in OLs maturation. 展开更多
关键词 CATALPOL neural stem cells OLIGODENDROCYTES DIFFERENTIATION CAVEOLIN-1 microfluidic chip
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Learning the parameters of a class of stochastic Lotka-Volterra systems with neural networks
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作者 WANG Zhanpeng WANG Lijin 《中国科学院大学学报(中英文)》 北大核心 2025年第1期20-25,共6页
In this paper,we propose a neural network approach to learn the parameters of a class of stochastic Lotka-Volterra systems.Approximations of the mean and covariance matrix of the observational variables are obtained f... In this paper,we propose a neural network approach to learn the parameters of a class of stochastic Lotka-Volterra systems.Approximations of the mean and covariance matrix of the observational variables are obtained from the Euler-Maruyama discretization of the underlying stochastic differential equations(SDEs),based on which the loss function is built.The stochastic gradient descent method is applied in the neural network training.Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method. 展开更多
关键词 stochastic Lotka-Volterra systems neural networks Euler-Maruyama scheme parameter estimation
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An efficient and accurate numerical method for simulating close-range blast loads of cylindrical charges based on neural network
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作者 Ting Liu Changhai Chen +2 位作者 Han Li Yaowen Yu Yuansheng Cheng 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第2期257-271,共15页
To address the problems of low accuracy by the CONWEP model and poor efficiency by the Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian(CEL)method in predicting close-range air blast loads of cylindrical charges,a neural network-based sim... To address the problems of low accuracy by the CONWEP model and poor efficiency by the Coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian(CEL)method in predicting close-range air blast loads of cylindrical charges,a neural network-based simulation(NNS)method with higher accuracy and better efficiency was proposed.The NNS method consisted of three main steps.First,the parameters of blast loads,including the peak pressures and impulses of cylindrical charges with different aspect ratios(L/D)at different stand-off distances and incident angles were obtained by two-dimensional numerical simulations.Subsequently,incident shape factors of cylindrical charges with arbitrary aspect ratios were predicted by a neural network.Finally,reflected shape factors were derived and implemented into the subroutine of the ABAQUS code to modify the CONWEP model,including modifications of impulse and overpressure.The reliability of the proposed NNS method was verified by related experimental results.Remarkable accuracy improvement was acquired by the proposed NNS method compared with the unmodified CONWEP model.Moreover,huge efficiency superiority was obtained by the proposed NNS method compared with the CEL method.The proposed NNS method showed good accuracy when the scaled distance was greater than 0.2 m/kg^(1/3).It should be noted that there is no need to generate a new dataset again since the blast loads satisfy the similarity law,and the proposed NNS method can be directly used to simulate the blast loads generated by different cylindrical charges.The proposed NNS method with high efficiency and accuracy can be used as an effective method to analyze the dynamic response of structures under blast loads,and it has significant application prospects in designing protective structures. 展开更多
关键词 Close-range air blast load Cylindrical charge Numerical method neural network CEL method CONWEP model
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A diagnosis method based on graph neural networks embedded with multirelationships of intrinsic mode functions for multiple mechanical faults
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作者 Bin Wang Manyi Wang +3 位作者 Yadong Xu Liangkuan Wang Shiyu Chen Xuanshi Chen 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第8期364-373,共10页
Fault diagnosis occupies a pivotal position within the domain of machine and equipment management.Existing methods,however,often exhibit limitations in their scope of application,typically focusing on specific types o... Fault diagnosis occupies a pivotal position within the domain of machine and equipment management.Existing methods,however,often exhibit limitations in their scope of application,typically focusing on specific types of signals or faults in individual mechanical components while being constrained by data types and inherent characteristics.To address the limitations of existing methods,we propose a fault diagnosis method based on graph neural networks(GNNs)embedded with multirelationships of intrinsic mode functions(MIMF).The approach introduces a novel graph topological structure constructed from the features of intrinsic mode functions(IMFs)of monitored signals and their multirelationships.Additionally,a graph-level based fault diagnosis network model is designed to enhance feature learning capabilities for graph samples and enable flexible application across diverse signal sources and devices.Experimental validation with datasets including independent vibration signals for gear fault detection,mixed vibration signals for concurrent gear and bearing faults,and pressure signals for hydraulic cylinder leakage characterization demonstrates the model's adaptability and superior diagnostic accuracy across various types of signals and mechanical systems. 展开更多
关键词 Fault diagnosis Graph neural networks Graph topological structure Intrinsic mode functions Feature learning
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Observed-based adaptive neural tracking control for nonlinear systems with unknown control directions and input delay
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作者 DENG Yuxuan WANG Qingling 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 2025年第1期269-279,共11页
Enhancing the stability and performance of practical control systems in the presence of nonlinearity,time delay,and uncertainty remains a significant challenge.Particularly,a class of strict-feedback nonlinear uncerta... Enhancing the stability and performance of practical control systems in the presence of nonlinearity,time delay,and uncertainty remains a significant challenge.Particularly,a class of strict-feedback nonlinear uncertain systems characterized by unknown control directions and time-varying input delay lacks comprehensive solutions.In this paper,we propose an observerbased adaptive tracking controller to address this gap.Neural networks are utilized to handle uncertainty,and a unique coordinate transformation is employed to untangle the coupling between input delay and unknown control directions.Subsequently,a new auxiliary signal counters the impact of time-varying input delay,while a Nussbaum function is introduced to solve the problem of unknown control directions.The leverage of an advanced dynamic surface control technique avoids the“complexity explosion”and reduces boundary layer errors.Synthesizing these techniques ensures that all the closed-loop signals are semi-globally uniformly ultimately bounded(SGUUB),and the tracking error converges to a small region around the origin by selecting suitable parameters.Simulation examples are provided to demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed approach. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive neural network dynamic surface control unknown control direction input delay
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TDNN:A novel transfer discriminant neural network for gear fault diagnosis of ammunition loading system manipulator
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作者 Ming Li Longmiao Chen +3 位作者 Manyi Wang Liuxuan Wei Yilin Jiang Tianming Chen 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第3期84-98,共15页
The ammunition loading system manipulator is susceptible to gear failure due to high-frequency,heavyload reciprocating motions and the absence of protective gear components.After a fault occurs,the distribution of fau... The ammunition loading system manipulator is susceptible to gear failure due to high-frequency,heavyload reciprocating motions and the absence of protective gear components.After a fault occurs,the distribution of fault characteristics under different loads is markedly inconsistent,and data is hard to label,which makes it difficult for the traditional diagnosis method based on single-condition training to generalize to different conditions.To address these issues,the paper proposes a novel transfer discriminant neural network(TDNN)for gear fault diagnosis.Specifically,an optimized joint distribution adaptive mechanism(OJDA)is designed to solve the distribution alignment problem between two domains.To improve the classification effect within the domain and the feature recognition capability for a few labeled data,metric learning is introduced to distinguish features from different fault categories.In addition,TDNN adopts a new pseudo-label training strategy to achieve label replacement by comparing the maximum probability of the pseudo-label with the test result.The proposed TDNN is verified in the experimental data set of the artillery manipulator device,and the diagnosis can achieve 99.5%,significantly outperforming other traditional adaptation methods. 展开更多
关键词 Manipulator gear fault diagnosis Reciprocating machine Domain adaptation Pseudo-label training strategy Transfer discriminant neural network
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2015年3月特大磁暴期间中国区域电离层TEC NeuralProphet预报模型研究 被引量:2
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作者 马彬 黄玲 +5 位作者 吴晗 楼益栋 章红平 陈德忠 王高阳 黄良珂 《地球物理学报》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第2期452-460,共9页
延迟是全球卫星导航定位中重要的误差源之一,提高电离层TEC建模和预报精度对改善卫星导航定位精度至关重要.本文构建了以太阳辐射通量指数F_(10.7)、地磁活动指数Dst、地理坐标和中国科学院(Chinese Academy of Sciences,CAS)GIM数据为... 延迟是全球卫星导航定位中重要的误差源之一,提高电离层TEC建模和预报精度对改善卫星导航定位精度至关重要.本文构建了以太阳辐射通量指数F_(10.7)、地磁活动指数Dst、地理坐标和中国科学院(Chinese Academy of Sciences,CAS)GIM数据为输入参数的NeuralProphet神经网络模型(NP模型),实现在2015年3月特大磁暴期中国区域电离层TEC短期预报.为验证NP模型的预报精度,本文同时构建了长短期记忆神经网络(Long Short-term Memory Neural Network,LSTM)模型进行对比分析.结果统计分析表明,NP模型在磁暴期(2015年DOY076-078)TEC预报值RMSE和RD分别为0.83 TECU和3.13%,绝对和相对精度较LSTM模型分别提高1.49 TECU和10.25%;且NP模型RMSE优于1.5 TECU的比例达97.24%,远高于LSTM模型.NP模型预报值与CAS具有较好一致性和无偏性,偏差均值仅为-0.01 TECU,而LSTM模型预报值的均值偏大,偏差均值为1.49 TECU.从低纬到中纬度的三个纬度带内,NP模型RMSE分别为1.12、0.83和0.44 TECU,精度比LSTM模型提高1.94、1.56和1.23 TECU.整体上,在磁暴期NP模型预报性能明显优于LSTM模型,能够精细描述中国区域电离层TEC时空变化. 展开更多
关键词 电离层TEC neuralProphet神经网络 LSTM神经网络 短期预报 磁暴期
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Fast solution to the free return orbit's reachable domain of the manned lunar mission by deep neural network 被引量:2
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作者 YANG Luyi LI Haiyang +1 位作者 ZHANG Jin ZHU Yuehe 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期495-508,共14页
It is important to calculate the reachable domain(RD)of the manned lunar mission to evaluate whether a lunar landing site could be reached by the spacecraft. In this paper, the RD of free return orbits is quickly eval... It is important to calculate the reachable domain(RD)of the manned lunar mission to evaluate whether a lunar landing site could be reached by the spacecraft. In this paper, the RD of free return orbits is quickly evaluated and calculated via the classification and regression neural networks. An efficient databasegeneration method is developed for obtaining eight types of free return orbits and then the RD is defined by the orbit’s inclination and right ascension of ascending node(RAAN) at the perilune. A classify neural network and a regression network are trained respectively. The former is built for classifying the type of the RD, and the latter is built for calculating the inclination and RAAN of the RD. The simulation results show that two neural networks are well trained. The classification model has an accuracy of more than 99% and the mean square error of the regression model is less than 0.01°on the test set. Moreover, a serial strategy is proposed to combine the two surrogate models and a recognition tool is built to evaluate whether a lunar site could be reached. The proposed deep learning method shows the superiority in computation efficiency compared with the traditional double two-body model. 展开更多
关键词 manned lunar mission free return orbit reachable domain(RD) deep neural network computation efficiency
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An intelligent control method based on artificial neural network for numerical flight simulation of the basic finner projectile with pitching maneuver 被引量:1
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作者 Yiming Liang Guangning Li +3 位作者 Min Xu Junmin Zhao Feng Hao Hongbo Shi 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期663-674,共12页
In this paper,an intelligent control method applying on numerical virtual flight is proposed.The proposed algorithm is verified and evaluated by combining with the case of the basic finner projectile model and shows a... In this paper,an intelligent control method applying on numerical virtual flight is proposed.The proposed algorithm is verified and evaluated by combining with the case of the basic finner projectile model and shows a good application prospect.Firstly,a numerical virtual flight simulation model based on overlapping dynamic mesh technology is constructed.In order to verify the accuracy of the dynamic grid technology and the calculation of unsteady flow,a numerical simulation of the basic finner projectile without control is carried out.The simulation results are in good agreement with the experiment data which shows that the algorithm used in this paper can also be used in the design and evaluation of the intelligent controller in the numerical virtual flight simulation.Secondly,combined with the real-time control requirements of aerodynamic,attitude and displacement parameters of the projectile during the flight process,the numerical simulations of the basic finner projectile’s pitch channel are carried out under the traditional PID(Proportional-Integral-Derivative)control strategy and the intelligent PID control strategy respectively.The intelligent PID controller based on BP(Back Propagation)neural network can realize online learning and self-optimization of control parameters according to the acquired real-time flight parameters.Compared with the traditional PID controller,the concerned control variable overshoot,rise time,transition time and steady state error and other performance indicators have been greatly improved,and the higher the learning efficiency or the inertia coefficient,the faster the system,the larger the overshoot,and the smaller the stability error.The intelligent control method applying on numerical virtual flight is capable of solving the complicated unsteady motion and flow with the intelligent PID control strategy and has a strong promotion to engineering application. 展开更多
关键词 Numerical virtual flight Intelligent control BP neural network PID Moving chimera grid
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Trajectory tracking guidance of interceptor via prescribed performance integral sliding mode with neural network disturbance observer 被引量:1
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作者 Wenxue Chen Yudong Hu +1 位作者 Changsheng Gao Ruoming An 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期412-429,共18页
This paper investigates interception missiles’trajectory tracking guidance problem under wind field and external disturbances in the boost phase.Indeed,the velocity control in such trajectory tracking guidance system... This paper investigates interception missiles’trajectory tracking guidance problem under wind field and external disturbances in the boost phase.Indeed,the velocity control in such trajectory tracking guidance systems of missiles is challenging.As our contribution,the velocity control channel is designed to deal with the intractable velocity problem and improve tracking accuracy.The global prescribed performance function,which guarantees the tracking error within the set range and the global convergence of the tracking guidance system,is first proposed based on the traditional PPF.Then,a tracking guidance strategy is derived using the integral sliding mode control techniques to make the sliding manifold and tracking errors converge to zero and avoid singularities.Meanwhile,an improved switching control law is introduced into the designed tracking guidance algorithm to deal with the chattering problem.A back propagation neural network(BPNN)extended state observer(BPNNESO)is employed in the inner loop to identify disturbances.The obtained results indicate that the proposed tracking guidance approach achieves the trajectory tracking guidance objective without and with disturbances and outperforms the existing tracking guidance schemes with the lowest tracking errors,convergence times,and overshoots. 展开更多
关键词 BP network neural Integral sliding mode control(ISMC) Missile defense Prescribed performance function(PPF) State observer Tracking guidance system
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High-resolution reconstruction of the ablative RT instability flowfield via convolutional neural networks
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作者 Xia Zhiyang Kuang Yuanyuan +1 位作者 Lu Yan Yang Ming 《强激光与粒子束》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第12期42-49,共8页
High-resolution flow field data has important applications in meteorology,aerospace engineering,high-energy physics and other fields.Experiments and numerical simulations are two main ways to obtain high-resolution fl... High-resolution flow field data has important applications in meteorology,aerospace engineering,high-energy physics and other fields.Experiments and numerical simulations are two main ways to obtain high-resolution flow field data,while the high experiment cost and computing resources for simulation hinder the specificanalysis of flow field evolution.With the development of deep learning technology,convolutional neural networks areused to achieve high-resolution reconstruction of the flow field.In this paper,an ordinary convolutional neuralnetwork and a multi-time-path convolutional neural network are established for the ablative Rayleigh-Taylorinstability.These two methods can reconstruct the high-resolution flow field in just a few seconds,and further greatlyenrich the application of high-resolution reconstruction technology in fluid instability.Compared with the ordinaryconvolutional neural network,the multi-time-path convolutional neural network model has smaller error and canrestore more details of the flow field.The influence of low-resolution flow field data obtained by the two poolingmethods on the convolutional neural networks model is also discussed. 展开更多
关键词 convolutional neural networks ablative Rayleigh-Taylor instability high-resolutionreconstruction multi-time-path pooling
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Automatic modulation recognition of radiation source signals based on two-dimensional data matrix and improved residual neural network
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作者 Guanghua Yi Xinhong Hao +3 位作者 Xiaopeng Yan Jian Dai Yangtian Liu Yanwen Han 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期364-373,共10页
Automatic modulation recognition(AMR)of radiation source signals is a research focus in the field of cognitive radio.However,the AMR of radiation source signals at low SNRs still faces a great challenge.Therefore,the ... Automatic modulation recognition(AMR)of radiation source signals is a research focus in the field of cognitive radio.However,the AMR of radiation source signals at low SNRs still faces a great challenge.Therefore,the AMR method of radiation source signals based on two-dimensional data matrix and improved residual neural network is proposed in this paper.First,the time series of the radiation source signals are reconstructed into two-dimensional data matrix,which greatly simplifies the signal preprocessing process.Second,the depthwise convolution and large-size convolutional kernels based residual neural network(DLRNet)is proposed to improve the feature extraction capability of the AMR model.Finally,the model performs feature extraction and classification on the two-dimensional data matrix to obtain the recognition vector that represents the signal modulation type.Theoretical analysis and simulation results show that the AMR method based on two-dimensional data matrix and improved residual network can significantly improve the accuracy of the AMR method.The recognition accuracy of the proposed method maintains a high level greater than 90% even at -14 dB SNR. 展开更多
关键词 Automatic modulation recognition Radiation source signals Two-dimensional data matrix Residual neural network Depthwise convolution
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Improving the spaceborne GNSS-R altimetric precision based on the novel multilayer feedforward neural network weighted joint prediction model
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作者 Yiwen Zhang Wei Zheng Zongqiang Liu 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期271-284,共14页
Global navigation satellite system-reflection(GNSS-R)sea surface altimetry based on satellite constellation platforms has become a new research direction and inevitable trend,which can meet the altimetric precision at... Global navigation satellite system-reflection(GNSS-R)sea surface altimetry based on satellite constellation platforms has become a new research direction and inevitable trend,which can meet the altimetric precision at the global scale required for underwater navigation.At present,there are still research gaps for GNSS-R altimetry under this mode,and its altimetric capability cannot be specifically assessed.Therefore,GNSS-R satellite constellations that meet the global altimetry needs to be designed.Meanwhile,the matching precision prediction model needs to be established to quantitatively predict the GNSS-R constellation altimetric capability.Firstly,the GNSS-R constellations altimetric precision under different configuration parameters is calculated,and the mechanism of the influence of orbital altitude,orbital inclination,number of satellites and simulation period on the precision is analyzed,and a new multilayer feedforward neural network weighted joint prediction model is established.Secondly,the fit of the prediction model is verified and the performance capability of the model is tested by calculating the R2 value of the model as 0.9972 and the root mean square error(RMSE)as 0.0022,which indicates that the prediction capability of the model is excellent.Finally,using the novel multilayer feedforward neural network weighted joint prediction model,and considering the research results and realistic costs,it is proposed that when the constellation is set to an orbital altitude of 500 km,orbital inclination of 75and the number of satellites is 6,the altimetry precision can reach 0.0732 m within one year simulation period,which can meet the requirements of underwater navigation precision,and thus can provide a reference basis for subsequent research on spaceborne GNSS-R sea surface altimetry. 展开更多
关键词 GNSS-R satellite constellations Sea surface altimetric precision Underwater navigation Multilayer feedforward neural network
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Time-varying parameters estimation with adaptive neural network EKF for missile-dual control system
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作者 YUAN Yuqi ZHOU Di +1 位作者 LI Junlong LOU Chaofei 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期451-462,共12页
In this paper, a filtering method is presented to estimate time-varying parameters of a missile dual control system with tail fins and reaction jets as control variables. In this method, the long-short-term memory(LST... In this paper, a filtering method is presented to estimate time-varying parameters of a missile dual control system with tail fins and reaction jets as control variables. In this method, the long-short-term memory(LSTM) neural network is nested into the extended Kalman filter(EKF) to modify the Kalman gain such that the filtering performance is improved in the presence of large model uncertainties. To avoid the unstable network output caused by the abrupt changes of system states,an adaptive correction factor is introduced to correct the network output online. In the process of training the network, a multi-gradient descent learning mode is proposed to better fit the internal state of the system, and a rolling training is used to implement an online prediction logic. Based on the Lyapunov second method, we discuss the stability of the system, the result shows that when the training error of neural network is sufficiently small, the system is asymptotically stable. With its application to the estimation of time-varying parameters of a missile dual control system, the LSTM-EKF shows better filtering performance than the EKF and adaptive EKF(AEKF) when there exist large uncertainties in the system model. 展开更多
关键词 long-short-term memory(LSTM)neural network extended Kalman filter(EKF) rolling training time-varying parameters estimation missile dual control system
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Adaptive Bayesian inversion of pore water pressures based on artificial neural network : An earth dam case study
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作者 AN Lu CARVAJAL Claudio +4 位作者 DIAS Daniel PEYRAS Laurent JENCK Orianne BREUL Pierre ZHANG Ting-ting 《Journal of Central South University》 CSCD 2024年第11期3930-3947,共18页
Most earth-dam failures are mainly due to seepage,and an accurate assessment of the permeability coefficient provides an indication to avoid a disaster.Parametric uncertainties are encountered in the seepage analysis,... Most earth-dam failures are mainly due to seepage,and an accurate assessment of the permeability coefficient provides an indication to avoid a disaster.Parametric uncertainties are encountered in the seepage analysis,and may be reduced by an inverse procedure that calibrates the simulation results to observations on the real system being simulated.This work proposes an adaptive Bayesian inversion method solved using artificial neural network(ANN)based Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation.The optimized surrogate model achieves a coefficient of determination at 0.98 by ANN with 247 samples,whereby the computational workload can be greatly reduced.It is also significant to balance the accuracy and efficiency of the ANN model by adaptively updating the sample database.The enrichment samples are obtained from the posterior distribution after iteration,which allows a more accurate and rapid manner to the target posterior.The method was then applied to the hydraulic analysis of an earth dam.After calibrating the global permeability coefficient of the earth dam with the pore water pressure at the downstream unsaturated location,it was validated by the pore water pressure monitoring values at the upstream saturated location.In addition,the uncertainty in the permeability coefficient was reduced,from 0.5 to 0.05.It is shown that the provision of adequate prior information is valuable for improving the efficiency of the Bayesian inversion. 展开更多
关键词 earth dam permeability coefficient pore water pressure monitoring data bayesian inversion artificial neural network
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基于LSTM-NeuralProphet模型的城市需水预测方法研究 被引量:5
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作者 范怡静 刘真 +1 位作者 苑佳 刘心 《中国农村水利水电》 北大核心 2023年第9期35-45,53,共12页
城市水资源规划和管理是确保城市可持续发展和居民生活基本需求得到满足的关键环节,城市短期需水预测是城市水资源规划和管理的基础。由于气温、降水量和蒸发量等随季节变化明显,直接影响不同季节的用水峰值、高峰期,导致传统基于时间... 城市水资源规划和管理是确保城市可持续发展和居民生活基本需求得到满足的关键环节,城市短期需水预测是城市水资源规划和管理的基础。由于气温、降水量和蒸发量等随季节变化明显,直接影响不同季节的用水峰值、高峰期,导致传统基于时间序列算法的固定时隙预测无法适应时隙的变化,从而不能保证预测精度。针对固定时隙预测精度低的问题,研究了基于四季24 h时间分辨率和夏季15 min时间分辨率的双时间尺度城市短期需水预测模型。该模型使用Anomaly-Transformer模型进行异常值检测,并通过分段曲线拟合对异常值校正,采用主成分分析法对城市短期需水影响因子进行分析提取主成分,在AutoML的标准模型分析中选取三个效果最好的模型作为Stacking模型的基学习器再结合长短期记忆网络(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)和Optune框架超参数优化后的NeuralProphet模型对双时间尺度的城市短期需水量进行预测,同时加入安全网机制,以保证LSTM-NeuralProphet模型的精确度。与其他模型(LSTM模型、NeuralProphet模型、BP神经网络模型)相比,LSTM-NeuralProphet模型的平均绝对误差在四季24 h时间分辨率的数据集上降低了0.18%~1.96%,在夏季15 min时间分辨率的数据集上降低了0.45%~11.90%。实验结果表明,LSTM-NeuralProphet模型具有更好的拟合效果和更高的预测精度,能较准确地预测双时间尺度下的城市需水量,可以较好地应用于城市短期需水预测研究中。 展开更多
关键词 双时间尺度 城市需水预测 长短期记忆网络 neuralProphet模型 LSTM-neuralProphet模型
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基于小波包变换和Replicator Neural Network的单位置结构损伤检测 被引量:1
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作者 张祥 陈仁文 《机械强度》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2020年第3期509-515,共7页
为了实现对结构的损伤检测,提出一种基于小波包变换和Replicator Neural Network(RNN)的单位置结构损伤检测方法。首先采用小波包变换对原始振动响应信号进行分解,计算分解得到的各频带的相对频带能量,这些相对频带能量的分布反映了结... 为了实现对结构的损伤检测,提出一种基于小波包变换和Replicator Neural Network(RNN)的单位置结构损伤检测方法。首先采用小波包变换对原始振动响应信号进行分解,计算分解得到的各频带的相对频带能量,这些相对频带能量的分布反映了结构特性。然后,将健康结构的相对频带能量作为输入训练RNN。最后,利用训练后的网络即可对结构进行实时损伤检测。实验表明,即使在有噪声干扰下,该方法仍然能够检测出结构是否存在损伤。 展开更多
关键词 Replicator neural Network 小波包变换 相对频带能量 结构损伤检测
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用Matlab中的Neural Network Toolbox仿真赤道东太平洋SST的预报模型 被引量:3
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作者 张韧 蒋国荣 李妍 《海洋科学》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2001年第2期38-42,共5页
基于NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和COADS海洋资料中的全球月平均海平面气压场、850hPa纬向风场及海表温度场 ,利用Matlab中的NeuralNetworkToolbox仿真环境和BP模型改进算法比较准确地仿真和反演出了南方涛动指数、赤道纬向风指数和滞后的赤道... 基于NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和COADS海洋资料中的全球月平均海平面气压场、850hPa纬向风场及海表温度场 ,利用Matlab中的NeuralNetworkToolbox仿真环境和BP模型改进算法比较准确地仿真和反演出了南方涛动指数、赤道纬向风指数和滞后的赤道东太平洋海温之间的动力结构和预报模型。该模型具有很好的拟合精度和可行的预报效果 ,可在一定时效内预测赤道东太平洋月平均海温的变化趋势。由于所建系统是具有直接因果关系的预报模型 ,因此不仅可直接用于预测 。 展开更多
关键词 neuralNETWORK 系统仿真反演 赤道东太平洋SST模
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