摘要
综合保税区作为中国改革开放40年对外开放政策试验的重要经验和'特殊经济区'的主要形式,其对于实践'一带一路'倡议中'贸易畅通'和推动地方经济的发展具有重要意义。本文运用增长极理论的'极化效应'和'涓滴效应'探讨综保区与腹地经济发展的关系,并通过双固定面板模型,对2011—2016年中国32个综保区与周边腹地经济增长的相关数据进行回归分析。研究结果表明:首先,综保区从总体上随着时间效应的积累,其对周边腹地区域经济增长所产生的'极化效应'大于'涓滴效应'。综保区利用自身的政策优势将生产要素聚集到区域内,形成新的经济增长极。其次,综保区在区位视角下对腹地经济增长呈现出不同的特点。沿海型综保区对腹地经济增长尽管还继续存在程度较深的'极化效应',但已经出现对腹地区域产生'涓滴效应'的趋势,而内陆型综保区对腹地区域经济增长所产生的'极化效应'和'涓滴效应'不显著。最后,综保区发挥'极化效应'和'涓滴效应'易受到国际经济贸易形势的影响。经济发达国家的进口需求直接影响综保区的贸易发展水平和区内企业的经济绩效,进而通过传递机制影响腹地经济增长。
As a major experience of China’s 40 years of reform and opening up policy and a major form of‘Special Economic Zone’,the comprehensive bonded zone is of great significance for the implementation of‘The Belt and Road’initiative‘trade smooth’and the promotion of local economic development.This paper uses the‘polarization effect’and‘trickle effect’of the growth pole theory to explore the relationship between the comprehensive bonded area and the economic development of the hinterland,and through the double fixed panel model,the regression analysis of the data of China’s 32 comprehensive bonded areas and the surrounding hinterland economic growth from 2011 to 2016 is carried out.The results show that,first of all,the‘polarization effect’of the comprehensive bonded zone on the overall economic growth of the surrounding hinterland is greater than the‘trickle effect’.The comprehensive bonded zone uses its own policy advantages to gather production factors into the region and form a new economic growth pole.Secondly,the comprehensive bonded area shows different characteristics for the economic growth of the hinterland from the perspective of location.Although the coastal comprehensive bonded zone has a deeper‘polarization effect’for the economic growth of the hinterland,there has been a trend of‘trickle effect’on the hinterland region,and the inland-type comprehensive bonded zone has generated economic growth in the hinterland.The‘polarization effect’and the‘trickle effect’are not significant.Finally,the‘polarization effect’and‘trickle effect’of the comprehensive bonded zone are vulnerable to the international economic and trade situation.The import demand of the developed countries directly affects the trade development level of the comprehensive bonded area and the economic performance of the enterprises in the zone,and then influences the economic growth of the hinterland through the transmission mechanism.
出处
《宏观经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2019年第9期153-167,共15页
Macroeconomics
基金
国家社会科学基金重点项目“跨太平洋伙伴关系协定对中国—东盟自由贸易区的影响测度及我国应对策略研究”(16AJY019)
广西哲学社会科学规划研究课题青年项目“桂越跨境经济合作区经济整合和新型治理模式研究”(17CJY002)
清华大学“知行计划”
广西高等学校高水平创新团队及卓越学者计划的研究成果
关键词
综合保税区
“极化效应”
“涓滴效应”
腹地经济增长
Comprehensive bonded area
‘Polarization effect’
‘Trickle effect’
Hinterland economic growth
