摘要
世界各国推动能源转型的主要目的是推动能源生产与供给体系的绿色、清洁、高效、安全发展。加快规划建设新型能源体系是中国在新发展阶段面临的新任务和新要求,且综合考量技术、经济、社会等多维因素,中国能源转型压力较欧美国家显得更为突出。为此,基于中国能源安全新战略与新型能源体系建设目标,深入研究和分析了新型能源体系的内涵和主要特征,研判了未来能源体系发展趋势,指出了新型能源体系建设路径,最后结合目前中国的现状提出了加快构建新型能源体系的重点举措建议。研究结果表明:①新型能源体系的关键特征主要包括能源供应低碳化安全化、能源消费电气化清洁化、供需调节一体化智能化、资源配置市场化高效化、生产布局集散化均衡化等5个方面;②中国新型能源体系建设主要包括快速建设期(当前至2035年)、全面建成期(2036—2050年)、成熟完善期(2051—2060年)等3个阶段;③加快构建新型能源体系的重点举措包括健全绿色低碳能源供应体系、促进消费侧全面清洁化转型、完善能源系统运行保障机制、深化区域能源协同发展战略、推动技术创新与体制机制改革等方面。结论认为,建设新型能源体系仍需要政府、企业、社会多方协同,形成合力,共同推动能源体系实现系统性变革重塑,研究成果对中国未来的能源发展方向具有重要的指导意义。
The main purpose of each country to promote energy transition is to promote the green,clean,efficient and safe development of energy production and supply systems.A new task and demand of China in the new development stage is to speed up the planning and construction of a new energy system,and the analysis of multi-dimensional factors such as technology,economy and society shows that China faces greater pressure in energy transition than European and American countries.Based on China's new energy security strategy and the construction goals of the new energy system,this paper deeply analyzes the connotation and main characteristics of the new energy system,predicts the future development trend of the energy system,and points out the construction path of the new energy system.Finally,the key measures to speed up the construction of the new energy system are proposed based on the current situations in China.The following results are obtained.First,the key characteristics of the new energy system are manifested mainly in five aspects,i.e.,low-carbon and safe energy supply,electrified and clean energy consumption,integrated and intelligent supply and demand regulation,market-oriented and efficient resource allocation,and distributed and balanced production layout.Second,the construction of new energy system in China is mainly divided into three stages,including rapid construction period(from now to 2035),full completion period(2036-2050),and improvement period(2051-2060).Third,the key measures to speed up the construction of new energy system include completing the green and low-carbon energy supply system,promoting the comprehensive clean transformation of consumption side,improving the operation guarantee mechanism of energy system,deepening the collaborative development strategy of regional energy,and impelling technological innovation and reform in systems and institutions.In conclusion,the construction of a new energy system still needs the cooperation of government,enterprises and society to jointly promote the systemic transformation and reshaping of the energy system.The research results are of important guiding significance for the future energy development direction in China.
作者
刘秀如
孙士昌
程鹏鑫
岳小文
孙春良
LIU Xiuru;SUN Shichang;CHENG Pengxin;YUE Xiaowen;SUN Chunliang(PetroChina Planning and Engineering Institute,Beijing 100083,China)
出处
《天然气工业》
北大核心
2025年第8期162-169,共8页
Natural Gas Industry
关键词
新型能源体系
能源转型
能源需求预测
建设路径
重点举措
New energy system
Energy transition
Energy demand forecast
Construction path
Key measures
作者简介
刘秀如,1978年生,正高级工程师,博士,现任中国石油规划总院企业高级专家,主要从事能源战略与规划方面的研究工作。地址:(100083)北京市海淀区志新西路3号。ORCID:0009-0008-7257-5117。E-mail:liuxiuru@petrochina.com.cn。
