摘要
2013年“一带一路”倡议的提出为中国木质林产品贸易发展提供了重大机遇。首先通过指标体系构建和主成分分析法,量化并分析了沿线45个主要国家在2013—2020年间的“五通”建设水平及变化情况,进而以改进的贸易引力模型考察沿线国家“五通”建设水平及其对中国木质林产品贸易的影响。结果表明:沿线国家“五通”建设水平在研究时段内稳步提升,但在贸易畅通和民心相通方面仍需重点关注,且各项指标水平均对中国木质林产品贸易规模产生显著促进作用。最后,依据实证结果,提出了持续提升“五通”建设水平、促进中国木质林产品贸易发展的相关政策建议。
The Belt and Road Initiative proposed in 2013 has provided significant opportunities for the development of China's wood forest products trade.In this paper,the"five-pronged approach"levels and changes from 2013 to 2020 in 45 key countries along the Belt and Road were quantified and analyzed,by constructing an indicator system and using principal component analysis.Then,the impact of these levels on China's trade in wood forest products was evaluated using an improved gravity model.The results showed that while the"five-pronged approach"levels of countries along the Belt and Road had steadily improved during the study period,unimpeded trade and people-to-people bond still required special attention.In addition,the levels of all indicators significantly promoted the scale of China's trade in wood forest products.Finally,based on the empirical results,relevant policy recommendations were proposed to continuously improve the"five-pronged approach"levels and promoted the development of China's wood forest products trade.
作者
梁锦旻
高扬
李雨豪
解希玮
LIANG Jin-min;GAO Yang;LI Yu-hao;XIE Xi-wei(Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,P.R.China;National Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration,Beijing 102699,P.R.China)
出处
《林产工业》
北大核心
2025年第8期102-108,共7页
China Forest Products Industry
基金
国家自然科学基金面上项目“碳中和目标下中国森林碳汇增长驱动机制和发展路径研究”(72473009)
国家建设高水平大学公派研究生项目(202306510043)
国家级大学生创新训练项目“数字经济赋能中国与共建‘一带一路’国家贸易高质量发展的机制与路径研究”(202410022056)。
关键词
“一带一路”倡议
“五通”建设水平
木质林产品贸易
引力模型
指标体系构建
The Belt and Road initiative
The"five-pronged approach"level
Wood forest products trade
Gravity model
Construction of indicator system
作者简介
第一作者:梁锦旻,男,研究方向为林产品贸易与市场,E-mail:864605696@qq.com;通讯作者:解希玮,女,博士,研究方向为农林经济理论与政策,E-mail:1174559562@qq.com。
