摘要
作为南南合作与新兴市场国家融入全球经济的典范,中国与其他金砖成员国出口贸易关系是一个难以回避的问题。文章建立理论模型剖析了中国出口如何扩大开放型经济体进口需求,从而影响其他金砖成员国出口状态,并利用金砖国家1995—2022年全球贸易网络面板数据对理论模型的结论进行了验证。研究发现,中国出口显著促进了其他金砖成员国出口增长,并且在北美洲、非洲、欧洲和大洋洲的资源贫瘠和富裕地区作用尤为突出;此外,2011年金砖五国的正式成立加强了中国出口的推动作用。进一步的实证研究显示,东道国技术水平、资本存量、汇率与中国出口催生效应呈正相关关系,东道国价格波动则与其呈负相关关系。因此,多渠道、多层次辅助东道国改善经济状况有利于中国出口催生效应的发挥,也有利于加快金砖五国出口贸易同步增长步伐。
As a model for South-South cooperation and the integration of emerging market countries into the global economy,China′s export trade relationship with other BRICS members is an unavoidable issue.This paper establishes a theoretical model to analyze how China′s exports expand the import demand of open economies,thus affecting the export status of other BRICS members.And this paper verifies the conclusions of the theoretical model using the BRICS global trade panel data from1995to2022.The results show that China′s exports have significantly contributed to the export growth of other BRICS members.This positive effect is particularly prominent in resource-poor and resource-rich regions in North America,Africa and Europe.In addition,the official establishment of the BRICS in2010has consolidated and strengthened the role of China′s export in promoting export growth among other members.Further empirical research also shows that the product technology level,capital stock and exchange rate of the host country are positively correlated with the export-induced effect of China′s exports,while the host country′s price fluctuation are negatively correlated.Therefore,providing multi-channel and multi-level assistance to the host country to improve its economic situation is conducive to the exertion of China′s export-promoting effect and accelerating the pace of simultaneous export trade growth among the BRICS countries.
作者
姜峰
蓝庆新
JIANG Feng;LAN Qingxin
出处
《世界经济研究》
北大核心
2025年第6期36-52,M0002,共18页
World Economy Studies
基金
对外经济贸易大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(项目编号:SZQH12)的阶段性成果。
作者简介
通信作者:蓝庆新。
