摘要
基于北京、上海、广东、湖北、深圳5个省市试点碳市场2019—2023年的季度交易面板数据,通过构建涵盖市场活跃度、价格波动性等维度的综合评价体系,结合固定效应模型系统探究中国碳市场有效性的影响因素。研究发现:中国碳市场有效性整体处于中下水平,其中深圳市碳市场有效性最高;碳排放配额总量与免费分配比例对碳市场有效性具有显著负向影响;地区产业经济结构与能源强度同样与碳市场有效性呈现显著关联。建议通过适度削减碳排放配额总量,减少政府免费分配的配额数量,适当降低纳入排控企业的门槛,增加控排企业数量来提高碳市场的有效性。
Based on quarterly trading panel data from 2019 to 2023 in China's carbon market pilot regions(Beijing,Shanghai,Guangdong,Hubei and Shenzhen),this study constructed a comprehensive evaluation system encompassing market activity,price volatility and other dimensions,and sys-tematically explored the factors influencing the effectiveness of China's carbon markets using a fixed-effects model.The findings reveal that the overall effectiveness of China's carbon markets remains at a medium-low level,with Shenzhen demonstrating the highest market efficiency.Both thetotal carbon emission quotas and free allocation ratio exhibit significant negative impacts on marketeffectiveness.Regional industrial-economic structures and energy intensity also show notable corre-lations with market performance.The study recommends moderately reducing total emission quo-tas,decreasing the proportion of government-free allocated quotas,appropriately lowering entrythresholds for emission-regulated enterprises,and expanding the coverage of regulated entities toenhance carbon market effectiveness.
作者
李子晗
杨力
LI Zihan;YANG li(School of Economics and Management,Anhui University of Science&Technology,Huainan Anhui 232000,China)
出处
《河北环境工程学院学报》
2025年第3期1-8,共8页
Journal of Hebei University of Environmental Engineering
关键词
气候问题
碳市场
熵权TOPSIS法
有效性
政府政策
climate problem
carbon markets
entropy weight TOPSIS method
effectiveness
goverm-ment policy
作者简介
李子晗(2000-),男,安徽亳州人,安徽理工大学管理科学与工程专业硕士研究生在读,主要从事碳排放和绿色金融方面的研究;通信作者:杨力(1972-),男,安徽淮南人,毕业于中国科学与技术大学管理科学与工程专业,博士,教授,博士生导师,主要从事碳中和、碳达峰与绿色金融方面的研究。
