摘要
谋求城市韧性与旅游产业高质量协同,厘清二者内在响应关系,可为产城融合推进与区域协调发展提供理论支撑及逻辑遵循。文章以长三角城市群为研究对象,从协同与交互响应双重视角切入,借助哈肯模型、PVAR模型和时空地理加权回归模型剖析了长三角城市群城市韧性与旅游产业的协同演化特征、交互响应状况及影响因素。结果表明:①研究期内,长三角城市群城市韧性及旅游产业发展水平均有所提升,但区域非均衡发展突出;中小规模城市的“追赶效应”表征明显。②沪、杭、苏等经济发达、人口规模较大的城市占领协同水平高地,协同水平在时间维度表现为优质协同城市数量稳步增加,在空间维度具有“空间锁定”与“路径依赖”特征。③长三角城市群城市韧性与旅游产业自身均具有正向累进效应,城市韧性对旅游产业呈现正向响应趋势,旅游产业对城市韧性存在一定交互胁迫效应。④协同演化的影响因素存在显著的区域差异,产业结构、人口城镇化呈现正向驱动作用,人力资本、交通条件呈现促进与抑制交错的空间分布格局,政府干预、科教保障具有一定抑制作用。
This study explores the synergistic relationship between urban resilience and the tourism industry,aiming to clarify their intrinsic interactions and provide theoretical support for industry-city integration and regional coordinated development.Taking the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration as the research object,this paper analyzes the coevolution characteristics,interactive response and influencing factors of urban resilience and tourism industry with the help of Haken model,PVAR model and spatio-temporal weighted regression from the dual perspectives of synergy and interactive response.The results show that:1)Both urban resilience and tourism industry development levels have improved during the study period in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration,yet regional disparities remain pronounced,with a notable"catch-up effect"observed in small and medium-sized cities.2)High synergy levels are concentrated in economically advanced cities like Shanghai,Hangzhou,Suzhou,the synergetic level shows a steady increase in the number of high-quality collaborative cities in the time dimension,and has the characteristics of"space locking"and"path dependence"in the spatial dimension.3)Both urban resilience and tourism industry in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration have positive progressive effects,with urban resilience showing a stronger positive response to the tourism industry.However,the tourism industry has a certain interactive stress effect on the urban resilience and its contribution rate is relatively low.4)There are significant regional differences in the influencing factors of coevolution.Industrial structure and population urbanization show a positive driving effect,human capital and traffic conditions show an alternating spatial distribution pattern of promotion and inhibition,government intervention and scientific and educational guarantee have a certain inhibiting effect.
作者
李志远
冯学钢
杨瑜
夏赞才
LI Zhiyuan;FENG Xuegang;YANG Yu;XIA Zancai(School of Economics and Management,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200062,China;School of Tourism,Shanghai Normal University,Shanghai 200234,China;School of Hospitality and Culinary Arts,Shanghai Institute of Tourism,Shanghai 201418,China;College of Tourism,Hunan Normal University,Changsha 410081,Hunan,China)
出处
《经济地理》
北大核心
2025年第3期64-75,共12页
Economic Geography
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(24&ZD212)
湖南省社会科学基金重大委托项目(19WTA11)。
关键词
城市韧性
旅游产业
协同效应
交互响应
路径依赖
长三角城市群
urban resilience
tourism industry
synergistic effect
interactive response
path dependence
Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration
作者简介
李志远(1997-),男,博士研究生,研究方向为城市韧性与旅游生态、旅游可持续发展。E-mail:452502984@qq.com;通信作者:杨瑜(1984-),女,硕士,讲师,研究方向为旅游产业管理。E-mail:vivian_yangyu@shnu.edu.cn。
