摘要
运用熵权TOPSIS法构建能源安全评价模型,以西北五省2010-2022年的面板数据为样本,从能源供应安全、能源消费安全和能源环境安全3个维度测算并评价能源安全状况。结果表明:西北五省总体能源安全在此期间呈现出先降后升的变化趋势;其中陕西的能源总体安全值最高,呈现持续上升的稳定态势,处于临界安全状态。青海、甘肃和新疆次之,均处于较不安全状态。甘肃和新疆的能源安全值在波动中呈现上升趋势,青海则经历了先升后降的波动过程。宁夏的能源总体安全值居五省最末端,整体呈现波动下降的趋势,处于不安全状态;各省在能源供应安全、消费安全和环境安全方面存在着显著差异。为提升能源安全性,应优化能源结构,加强科技研发,加大节能环保投入,以促进西北五省能源安全水平的整体提升。
An energy security evaluation model was constructed using the entropy-weighted TOPSIS method,with panel data from the five northwestern provinces of China spanning 2010 to 2022.Energy security was assessed across three dimensions:energy supply security,energy consumption security,and energy environmental security.The findings reveal the following:the overall energy security in the five provinces exhibited a trend of initial decline followed by a rise.During the study period,Shanxi consistently achieved the highest overall energy security score,showing a steady upward trajectory and remaining in a critical security state.Qinghai,Gansu,and Xinjiang followed,all categorized as relatively insecure.Among these,the energy security levels in Gansu and Xinjiang demonstrated an upward trend amid fluctuations,whereas Qinghai experienced a rise followed by a decline.Ningxia ranked last,with a general trend of fluctuating decline,placing it in an insecure state.Significant differences were observed among the provinces in terms of energy supply security,consumption security,and environmental security.To enhance energy security,efforts should focus on optimizing the energy structure,strengthening technological innovation,and increasing investments in energy conservation and environmental protection,thereby promoting a comprehensive improvement in energy security across the five northwestern provinces.
作者
李彩凤
朱万里
朱婷
金亚亚
Li Caifeng;Zhu Wanli;Zhu Ting;Jin Yaya(School of Economics,Lanzhou Technology and Business College,Lanzhou 730101,China;Key Laboratory of Regional Circular Economy in Gansu Province Universities,Lanzhou 730101,China)
出处
《科技创业月刊》
2025年第5期9-16,共8页
Journal of Entrepreneurship in Science & Technology
基金
甘肃省高校区域循环经济重点实验室一般项目“双碳”目标下甘肃省能源供给结构优化研究(QXKJ2023-008)
甘肃省科技厅计划资助项目“数字经济推动甘肃省高质量发展机制与路径研究(22JR11RA294)”
甘肃省高校区域循环经济重点实验室重点项目“要素市场化配置与中国制造业中间产品创新能力提升:影响机制与路径研究”(QXKJ2023-005)。
关键词
西北五省
能源安全
熵权TOPSIS法
评价体系
Northwest Five Provinces
Energy Security
Entropy Weight TOPSIS Method
Evaluation System
作者简介
李彩凤(1990-),女,兰州工商学院经济学院讲师,研究方向:区域经济;朱万里(1982-),男,兰州工商学院经济学院副教授,研究方向:经济计量分析、区域创新与经济发展;朱婷(1990-),女,兰州工商学院经济学院助教,研究方向:区域经济;金亚亚(1995-),女,兰州工商学院经济学院助教,研究方向:经济统计。
