摘要
基于2014—2022年中国31个省(区、市)的面板数据,从六大行政地理区域入手,利用CRITIC权重法、莫兰指数和障碍度模型分析中国农业高质量发展在农业经济条件、农业产业效益、农业绿色发展、农业现代化水平和农业科技投入5个维度的综合权重及发展水平、空间分异特征和障碍因子。结果表明:①中国的农业高质量发展水平整体上呈逐渐上升的趋势,东北地区的农业高质量发展水平最高,华东、中南、西北和西南地区的农业高质量发展水平低于全国均值,且农业高质量发展水平地区间差异大,分布不均衡。②多数省份在空间上处于高高区和低低区,跃迁现象不明显,存在显著的正向空间相关性。农业高质量发展水平高的省份对周围的辐射带动强烈,而农业高质量发展水平较低的省份则趋于稳定态势。③从障碍因子来看,大部分地区准则层的障碍因子为农业经济条件和农业现代化水平,而指标层中的农业科研人数一直是全国农业高质量发展的共同障碍。虽然农业高质量发展水平呈上升趋势,但不平衡问题依然存在,并提出以下对策建议:一是协调地区发展,缩小区域差距;二是创新发展模式,优化产业链条;三是加大科技服务,提升发展效率。
Based on the panel data of 31 provinces(autonomous regions and municipalities)in China from 2014 to 2022,this study analyzes the comprehensive weights and development levels,spatial differentiation characteristics and obstacle factors of China’s high-quality agricul-tural development in five dimensions:agricultural economic conditions,agricultural industry benefits,agricultural green development,agricul-tural modernization level and agricultural science and technology investment,starting from the six administrative geographical regions.The re-sults show that:①The level of high-quality agricultural development in China is gradually increasing,with the highest level of high-quality agricultural development in Northeast China,and the level of high-quality agricultural development in East China,Central South,Northwest and Southwest China is lower than the national average,and the level of high-quality agricultural development varies greatly and unevenly dis-tributed.②Most provinces are spatially in the high-high and low-low areas,and the transition phenomenon is not obvious,and there is a sig-nificant positive spatial correlation.Provinces with a high level of high-quality agricultural development have a strong impact on the surround-ing areas,while provinces with a low level of high-quality agricultural development tend to be stable.③From the perspective of obstacle fac-tors,the obstacle factors at the criterion level in most regions are agricultural economic conditions and agricultural modernization level,while the number of agricultural scientific researchers in the index layer has always been a common obstacle to the high-quality development of agri-culture in China.Although the level of high-quality agricultural development is on the rise,the problem of imbalance still exists,and the fol-lowing countermeasures and suggestions are put forward:First,coordinate regional development and narrow regional gaps.The second is to in-novate the development model and optimize the industrial chain.The third is to increase scientific and technological services and improve de-velopment efficiency.
作者
胡旭
樊帆
HU Xu;FAN Fan(School of Economics and Management,Yangtze University,Jingzhou,Hubei 434023)
出处
《安徽农业科学》
2025年第5期190-195,共6页
Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
关键词
农业强国
农业高质量发展
水平分异
莫兰指数
障碍度
Agricultural power
High-quality development of agriculture
Horizontal differentiation
Moran index
Degree of obstacle
作者简介
胡旭(1996-),男,河南信阳人,硕士研究生,研究方向:农业经济;通信作者:樊帆,教授,硕士,从事农林经济管理研究。
