摘要
在大数据和AI赋能的情景下,决策范式正在被重新定义,经历了从“经验、模型、计算”到“数智决策”的演化过程,其中“数智化能力、学习能力和对知识整合利用能力”是决策范式演进的重要影响因素。基于系统的观点,通过对4种典型决策范式进行综合集成,构建基于“组织智能(OI)—人类智能(HI)—人工智能(AI)”三位一体的群体智能学习型决策模型,阐释新模型给决策范式带来的改变以及在应急管理战略决策和电商平台业务决策中的典型应用。研究结论:(1)提出了数智情境下“学习型决策”理念,注重群智决策中的学习系统,通过学习系统克服决策中的不确定性和复杂性;(2)构建了以“数据—学习—智慧”为核心的群体智能学习型决策框架,给从“数据”中如何获取“智慧”的经典问题提供了研究路径;(3)新范式促进了“决策组织、决策模式、决策流程、决策可解释性”等全方位转变,为构建群体智能学习型决策理论体系奠定了基础。研究结论在数字经济时代具有重要的理论价值和实践价值。
Under the scenario empowered by big data and AI,the decision-making paradigm is being redefined,experiencing an evolutionary process from“experience,modeling,and computation”to“numerical decision-making”,in which the“ability to integrate and utilize knowledge”is an important factor influencing the continuous evolution of the decision-making paradigm.The“big data capability,learning capability and knowledge integration and utilization capability”are the important influencing factors for the continuous evolution of the decision-making paradigm.Based on a systemic perspective,this paper integrates four typical decision-making paradigms to construct a collective intelligence learning-based decision-making model centered on the trinity of Organizational Intelligence(OI),Human Intelligence(HI),and Artificial Intelligence(AI).It elucidates the transformative impact of the new model on decision-making paradigms and its typical applications in strategic decision-making for emergency management and business decision-making for e-commerce platforms.The study concludes that(1)the concept of“learning decision-making”is proposed in the context of digital intelligence,focusing on the learning system in collective intelligence decision-making,and overcoming the uncertainty and complexity of decision-making through the learning system;(2)A collective intelligence learning-based decision-making framework centered on“data-learning-wisdom”has been constructed,providing a research pathway for the classical problem of how to obtain“wisdom”from“data”;(3)The new paradigm will promote all-around transformation of“decision-making organization,decision-making mode,decision-making process,and decision-making interpretability”,laying a foundation for the construction of collective intelligent learning decision-making theory system.This study has important theoretical and practical value in the age of digital intelligence.
作者
王易
王成良
邱国栋
WANG Yi;WANG Chengliang;QIU Guodong(School of International Business and Management,Sichuan International Studies University,Chongqing 400031,China;School of Big Data&Software Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 401331,China;Business School of Dongbei University of Finance and Economics,Dalian 116025,China)
出处
《中国软科学》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2024年第12期35-50,共16页
China Soft Science
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA099)
重庆市教委科学技术研究重点项目(KJZD-K202200904)。
关键词
数智赋能
综合集成
群体智能学习型决策
决策范式演进
data intelligence empowerment
metasynthetic
collective intelligent learning decision-making
decision-making paradigm evolution
作者简介
王易(1981-),男,陕西武功人,四川外国语大学国际工商管理学院硕士生导师,博士,研究方向为大数据管理决策、大数据审计、创新管理。
