摘要
为实现绿色低碳发展目标,运用熵值法、耦合协调度模型和耦合演化模型对2013—2022年新疆农业经济发展和生态环境耦合协调关系进行分析,得出以下结论:(1)新疆农业碳排放量趋于稳定,根据绿色农业的发展目标,缺乏切实有效的减碳措施;(2)新疆经济-环境整体系统发展状态良好,但是分系统来看,农业经济发展系统波动较大;(3)两系统的耦合度维持在较高水平,协调度呈上升趋势,耦合度和协调度间的差距正在缩小;(4)时序下的动态耦合度阶段发展不稳定,在各个阶段来回波动,近年来维持在初级耦合阶段,同时时序下的静态变化趋势也在向好发展。
In order to achieve the goal of green and low-carbon development,the entropy method,coupling coordination degree model,and coupling evolution model were used to analyze the coupling coordination relationship between agricultural economic development and ecological environment in Xinjiang from 2013 to 2022.The following conclusions were drawn:(1)Agriculture carbon emissions in Xinjiang were stabilizing.In accordance with the development goals of green agriculture,practical and effective carbon reduction measures were lacking.(2)The overall development status of economy-environment system was good in Xinjiang.However,from systemic perspectives,the agricultural economic development system fluctuated greatly.(3)The coupling degree of the two systems was maintained at a high level,and the coordination degree was on the rise.The gap between coupling degree and coordination degree was narrowing.(4)The development of dynamic coupling under time series was unstable,fluctuating back and forth in various stages,and has been maintained in the primary coupling stage in recent years.At the same time,the trend of static changes in time series was also developing in a positive direction.
作者
李丹薇
LI Danwei(Business School,Xinjiang Normal University,Urumqi830017,China)
出处
《现代农业》
2024年第2期84-91,共8页
Modern Agriculture
基金
新疆师范大学研究生科技创新项目“产业协同集聚对新疆经济高质量发展水平的影响研究——以制造业和生产性服务业为例”(XSY202301038)。
关键词
农业经济
生态环境
绿色低碳
agricultural economy
ecological environment
green and low-carbon
作者简介
李丹薇(1999-),女,硕士在读,研究方向:区域经济可持续发展。
