摘要
跨境动物疫病传入定量风险评估是描述动物疫病传入某一特定环境的生物学途径,并对传入发生概率采用数值进行定量推定的过程。跨境动物疫病传入定量风险评估可以带来准确直观的结果,有助于提高动物疫病防控政策的科学性和口岸检疫的针对性。国内外学者采用定量风险评估方法,分析了非洲猪瘟、非洲马瘟等跨境动物疫病传入后带来的影响及制定的相应措施,并提出了合理化建议。本文通过梳理分析跨境动物疫病传入定量风险评估的国内外研究进展,以期为做好跨境动物疫病的监测预警和防控奠定基础。
Quantitative risk assessment of the entry of transboundary animal diseases is a process describing biological pathways through which animal diseases enter into a specific environment,and the probability of entry occurrence is quantitatively estimated using numerical values.The accurate and intuitive results could be obtained by the assessment to help to improve the scientificity of the policies about animal disease prevention and control and the pertinence of port quarantine.The effect of the entry of African swine fever(ASF),African horse sickness(AHS)and other transboundary animal diseases as well as relevant countermeasures have been analyzed by scholars both at home and abroad,who proposed reasonable recommendations.In the paper,the research progress of the assessment,both domestical and international,was summarized and analyzed,with a view to laying a foundation for monitoring,early warning,and prevention and control of any transboundary animal diseases.
作者
李超
戴美霞
王素春
王楷宬
薛峰
王玉英
Li Chao;Dai Meixia;Wang Suchun;Wang Kaicheng;Xue Feng;Wang Yuying(China Animal Health and Epidemiology Center,Key Laboratory of Animal Biosafety Risk Prevention and Control(South China),Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs,Qingdao,Shandong 266032,China;Nanjing Agricultural University,Nanjing,Jiangsu 210095,China;Zunyi Medical University,Zunyi,Guizhou 563004,China;Qingdao Aquarium,Qingdao,Shandong 266031,China)
出处
《中国动物检疫》
CAS
2023年第12期68-72,109,共6页
China Animal Health Inspection
基金
国家重点研发计划项目(2021YFD1800500)。
关键词
跨境动物疫病
定量风险评估
监测预警
模型
transboundary animal disease
quantitative risk assessment
monitoring and warning
model
作者简介
李超,同等贡献作者;戴美霞,同等贡献作者;通信作者:王楷宬。E-mail:wangkaicheng@cahec.cn;通信作者:薛峰。E-mail:xuefeng@njau.edu.cn。
