摘要
基于社会网络分析法,使用2000-2020年的全球葵花籽油贸易数据,构建世界葵花籽油贸易的整体网络,分析全球葵花籽油贸易的演变特征及对中国葵花籽油贸易的政策启示。研究发现:2000-2020年全球葵花籽油贸易整体网络密度和互惠性分别提升了2.1%和4.4%,贸易伙伴国间的直接交易路径逐年缩短,整体网络联系愈发紧密;俄罗斯、德国、荷兰、比利时和土耳其保持着全球葵花籽油贸易核心国地位,乌克兰和中国的贸易地位不断提升;中国葵花籽油进口规模近十年来快速增长,贸易逆差不断扩大,面临较大贸易风险。据此建议,应着手提升我国在葵花籽油国际贸易中的协调控制能力,发挥在全球葵花籽油贸易市场中的枢纽作用,一方面深化同俄罗斯、乌克兰等核心国的合作,另一方面主动拓展朋友圈,增加从土耳其、阿根廷等其他出口国的进口,打造更为多元高效的葵花籽油贸易网络。
Based on the social network analysis method,the global sunflower oil trade data from 2000 to 2020 were used to construct the overall network of world sunflower oil trade,and to analyze the evolution characteristics of global sunflower oil trade and the policy implications for China's sunflower oil trade.The results show that:from 2000 to 2020,the overall network density and reciprocity of global sunflower oil trade increased by 2.1%and 4.4%,respectively.The direct transaction path between trading partners shortened year by year,and the overall network connections became more and more close.Russia,Germany,the Netherlands,Belgium and Turkey remain the core countries in the global sunflower oil trade,while Ukraine and China continue to improve their trade status.China's sunflower oil import scale has been growing rapidly in the past decade,and its trade deficit has been expanding con-stantly.According to above,we suggesed to improve the ability in the sunflower seed oil coordination control,to play a pivotal role in sunflower oil trade markets around the world.On the one hand,we need to deepen cooperation with Russia,Ukraine and other core countries,actively expand the circle of friends,on the other hand,we might increase imports from Turkey,Argentina and other exporters,and create more efficient sunflower oil trade network.
作者
施文华
严茂林
周晓亮
张洋
吴成亮
SHI Wen-hua;YAN Mao-lin;ZHOU Xiao-liang;ZHANG Yang;WU Cheng-liang(College of Economics and Management,Beijing Forestry University,Beijing 100083,China;State Academy of Forestry and Grassland Administration,Beijing 102600,China;Agricultural Information Institute of CAAS,Beijing 100086,China)
出处
《中国油料作物学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2023年第4期664-674,共11页
Chinese Journal of Oil Crop Sciences
基金
农业农村部财政经费项目“中国食物与营养发展战略研究”(JGHX202008)
国家自然科学基金面上项目(71573019)。
关键词
葵花籽油
贸易
社会网络分析
格局演变
sunflower seed oil
trade
social network analysis
pattern of evolution
作者简介
施文华(1999-),女,硕士,研究方向为农林经济学、人口资源与环境经济学,E-mail:18519166255@163.com;通讯作者:吴成亮(1975-),男,副教授,博士,研究方向为农林经济管理,E-mail:wubjfu@163.com
