摘要
新型城镇化与城乡融合发展是构建国内国际双循环新发展格局的重要内容。基于2001~2020年中国31个省级面板数据,运用耦合协调度模型和面板回归模型,定量分析中国新型城镇化与城乡融合耦合协调发展的时空格局及其影响因素。结果表明:①中国省域新型城镇化指数总体呈显著上升趋势,东部地区新型城镇化指数最高,中部地区次之,西部地区最低;中国省域城乡融合发展指数呈波动变化,略有下降,东部地区城乡融合发展水平高于中部和西部地区;②31个省(自治区、直辖市)新型城镇化与城乡融合耦合协调发展水平不断提升,耦合协调度呈现“初级协调→中级协调→良好协调”的发展态势,空间上表现为东高西低的格局;相对发展阶段呈现“新型城镇化滞后→同步发展→城乡融合发展滞后”的演变态势,东部地区处于城乡融合发展滞后状态,中部和西部地区逐步迈向同步发展状态;③经济发展水平、政府能力、科技投入、教育投入对于耦合协调发展具有正向促进作用,产业结构高级度具有抑制作用,经济发展水平、科技投入和教育投入的影响作用具有显著的地区异质性。
The new-type urbanization and integrated urban-rural development are important for the construction of a new development pattern of dual circulation at home and abroad.Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in China from 2001 to 2020,the new-type urbanization and integrated urban-rural development evaluation index system were constructed respectively;then,the coupling coordination degree model and panel regression model were used to analyze the spatio-temporal pattern and influencing factors of the coupling coordination development of new-type urbanization and integrated urban-rural development.The results show that①the overall provincial new-type urbanization index of China shows a significant upward trend,with the highest new-type urbanization index in the eastern region,followed by the central region and the lowest in the western region;provincial rural-urban integration index of China shows a downward trend,and the level of rural-urban integration in the eastern region is higher than that in the central and western regions.②The level of the new-type urbanization and integrated urban-rural coupling coordination development in 31 provinces,autonomous regions and municipalities has been continuously improved,and the coupling coordination degree shows a trend of“primary coordination→intermediate coordination→good coordination”,with a spatial pattern of high in the eastern region and low in the western region;the relative development stage has changed from lagging new-type urbanization to synchronous development,and then to lagging integrated urban-rural development;the eastern region is in the lagging stage of integrated urban-rural development,and the central and western regions are gradually moving toward synchronous development.③Economic development level,government capacity,input in science and technology,and input in education have a positive promoting effect on the coupling coordination development,while industrial structure level has an inhibitory effect;the effects of economic development level,input in science and technology,and input in education have significant regional heterogeneity.
作者
郭玲霞
刘宇峰
封建民
贺珊
GUO Ling-xia;LIU Yu-feng;FENG Jian-min;HE Shan(School of Geography and Environment,Xianyang Normal University,Xianyang 712000,Shaanxi,China)
出处
《地球科学与环境学报》
CAS
北大核心
2023年第4期781-795,共15页
Journal of Earth Sciences and Environment
基金
国家自然科学基金项目(42061037)
陕西省哲学社会科学重点研究基地项目(18JZ062)
咸阳师范学院“学术带头人”项目(XSYXSDT202116)
国家级大学生创新创业训练计划项目(2019012)。
关键词
新型城镇化
城乡融合发展
耦合协调发展
时空格局
影响因素
熵值法
面板回归模型
new-type urbanization
integrated urban-rural development
coupling coordination development
spatio-temporal pattern
influencing factor
entropy method
panel regression model
作者简介
郭玲霞(1984-),女,甘肃天水人,副教授,理学博士,E-mail:guolingxia1984@163.com。
