摘要
近年来,欧洲大国明显加大介入印度洋局势,纷纷推出本国“印太战略”,在印度洋地区加强军力部署和安全介入,加大区域机制参与力度,深化海上安全合作,旨在扩大自身经济利益、提升地缘政治影响力、助推大国战略。欧洲大国的介入导致印度洋地区进一步军事化,扩大了印度的战略优势,协同了美国的“印太战略”。上述政策也面临一系列制约,包括资源投入有限、多个战略方向难以兼顾、战略协调成效不足、各战略支点面临复杂挑战等。因此,短期内欧洲大国在印度洋地区将难有大的作为,虚实结合的综合策略会得到更大重视,扶持印度来维持地区均势将成为欧洲大国的主要策略。
European powers have significantly enhanced their involvement in the Indian Ocean in recent years.They have released different versions of Indo-Pacific strategies,enhanced military deployment and security intervention in the region,stepped up participation in regional mechanisms,and deepened maritime security cooperation to expand their economic interests,elevate their geopolitical influence,and advance their great-power ambitions.These measures have led to further militarization of the Indian Ocean region while consolidating India’s strategic advantages and generating a synergy with the US Indo-Pacific strategy.At the same time,the European powers’involvement in the Indian Ocean has encountered a series of constraints, including limited input, difficulty in balancing multiple strategic directions, insufficient strategic coordination, and complex challenges for strategic footholds. In the coming years, it will be difficult for European powers to make substantial progress in the region, and supporting India to maintain regional balance of power will be their major option in the short term.
出处
《国际问题研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2022年第3期82-105,125,126,共26页
International Studies
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目“印日‘亚非发展走廊’对‘一带一路’倡议的影响”(项目编号:19BGJ066)的阶段性成果。
作者简介
曾祥裕,四川大学南亚研究所副研究员。